波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那河流最大排水量的频率和发生情况如何?

Slobodan Gnjato, Igor Leščešen, Biljana Basarin, T. Popov
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摘要

在这项研究中,我们探讨了乌纳河和萨纳河最大河流排水量的频率和发生率,以了解气候变化下的水文变化。我们将最大排水量分为严重事件(乌纳河 M1 > 98.2 立方米/秒;萨纳河 M1 > 118.2 立方米/秒)和极端事件(乌纳河 M2 > 123.4 立方米/秒;萨纳河 M2 > 246.4 立方米/秒),并确定了这些事件的趋势,这对评估环境影响至关重要。我们的研究结果揭示了一种微妙的模式:两条河流的严重事件发生率分别从 58 天增加到 55 天和从 56 天增加到 54 天,这表明水文动态十分复杂。这些趋势凸显了年度事件发生率的显著变化、河流系统不断演变的性质,并强调了适应性管理策略的必要性。
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What is happening with frequency and occurrence of the maximum river discharges in Bosnia and Herzegovina?
In this study, we explored the frequency and occurrence rate of maximum river discharges in the Una and Sana rivers, to understand hydrological variations amidst climate change. We categorized maximum discharges into severe (Una River M1 > 98.2 m3/s; Sana River M1 > 118.2 m3/s) and extreme (Una River, M2, > 123.4 m3/s; Sana River M2 > 246.4 m3/s) events, and identified trends in these events, crucial for assessing environmental impacts. Our findings reveal a nuanced pattern: both rivers experience an increase in severe events from 58 to 55 and 56 to 54 days return period respectively, indicating complex hydrological dynamics. The trends underscore the significant shifts in annual event occurrences, the evolving nature of river systems and underscore the necessity for adaptive management strategies.
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