改革开放后中国城市失业持续时间分析

Q4 Business, Management and Accounting American Business Review Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI:10.37625/abr.27.1.302-325
Soumyatanu Mukherjee, Soumya Roy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们将中国加入世贸组织与城镇求职者的失业持续时间联系起来。我们利用 2008 年初进行的中国农村城市人口迁移(RUMiC)调查数据,构建了 2002 年 1 月至 2007 年 12 月期间开始失业的人口流入样本,以估计当地城镇求职者的失业持续时间。通过使用考克斯比例危害模型和加速失败时间模型,我们发现贸易政策不确定性的降低显著缩短了失业持续时间,而由于就业可得性和保留工资的不同,危害率在内部移民和城市本地人之间存在差异。
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Urban Unemployment Duration Analysis in Post-Reform China
We link China’s accession to the WTO with the unemployment duration of urban jobseekers. Using data from the Rural Urban Migration in China (RUMiC) of a survey conducted in early 2008, we construct an inflow sample of those who started a period of joblessness between January 2002 and December 2007 to estimate the unemployment duration for local urban jobseekers. Deploying the Cox Proportional Hazards and Accelerated Failure Time models, we find reduced trade policy uncertainty significantly shortens unemployment duration, with hazard-rate varying across internal in-migrants and urban natives, due to variations in job accessibility and reservation wages.
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来源期刊
American Business Review
American Business Review Business, Management and Accounting-Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
13
审稿时长
8 weeks
期刊最新文献
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