研究环境污染和预期寿命对欧盟经济增长的影响

IF 1.2 Q3 ECONOMICS Journal of Economic Integration Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI:10.11130/jei.2024022
Vlatka Bilas, Sanja Franc
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引用次数: 0

摘要

环境和人口变化属于影响当代经济和社会的大趋势。本文的主要目的是分析环境污染和预期寿命对欧盟经济增长的影响。主要研究假设指出,环境污染和预期寿命的增加会导致实际 GDP 的增加。为研究这一关系,采用了多种计量经济学检验方法。首先,使用面板协整检验法检验变量之间是否存在长期关系。然后,估算了长期和短期的协整系数。最后,进行了改进的格兰杰因果检验,以检验变量之间的因果关系。结果表明,环境污染和预期寿命序列合在一起会对实际 GDP 产生格兰杰因果关系。然而,其他检验结果表明,这两个变量对欧盟实际 GDP 的影响微弱。
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Examining the Impact of Environmental Pollution and Life Expectancy on Economic Growth in the European Union
Environmental and demographic changes fall into megatrends that shape contemporary economy and society. The main aim of this paper is to analyze the impact of environmental pollution and life expectancy on economic growth in the European Union. The main research hypothesis states that an increase in environmental pollution and life expectancy leads to an increase in real GDP. Various econometric tests were applied to examine this relationship. Firstly, the existence of long-term relationship between the variables was examined with the use of panel cointegration test. Then, cointegration coefficients in both the long-run and the short-run were estimated. Finally, the improved Granger causality test was conducted to check for causal relationship between the variables. The results indicate that environmental pollution and life expectancy series taken together Granger-cause real GDP. However, other tests indicate there is only a weak impact of the two variables on the real GDP in the European Union.
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