总统对国际危机的关注

IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Presidential Studies Quarterly Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI:10.1111/psq.12875
Neil Snyder
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为什么以及在什么条件下,国际危机会成为总统的国家安全议程?我认为,国际危机是总统寻求国内政治利益的机会,但总统可能会权衡预期的政治利益和预期的政治反对风险。我分析了 1947 年到 1993 年间总统国家安全委员会(NSC)的会议议程,发现 1973 年的《战争权力决议》(WPR)降低了总统关注危机的可能性,低支持率与危机关注度的提高有关,而《战争权力决议》之后统一政府下的总统可能会更加关注危机。本文通过将总统的国家安全行为与美国国内政治联系起来,对《世界总统权力法案》进行了全新的分析。
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Presidential attentiveness to international crises
Why, and under what conditions, do international crises make the president's national security agenda? I argue that international crises are opportunities for presidents to seek domestic political gains, but that presidents are likely to weigh anticipated political benefits against anticipated risk of political opposition. I analyze presidential National Security Council (NSC) meeting agendas from 1947 to 1993 to find that the War Powers Resolution (WPR) of 1973 reduced the likelihood of presidential crisis attentiveness, that low approval ratings are associated with increased crisis attentiveness, and that post‐WPR presidents under unified government are likely to be more crisis attentive. This article provides fresh analysis of the WPR by connecting presidential national security behavior with American domestic politics.
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来源期刊
Presidential Studies Quarterly
Presidential Studies Quarterly POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
12.50%
发文量
47
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