计算机现在能做什么?德雷福斯再论人工智能的第三次浪潮

Ben Schuering, Thomas Schmid
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摘要

近年来,人工智能(AI)取得了长足的进步,甚至超过了乐观的预测。利用数据驱动的人工智能(即深度学习技术),人们已经证明,计算机现在可以具备非凡的能力和质量,例如解决人类水平的图像和文本处理任务。大型语言模型尤其引发了有关这一快速发展领域的机遇与挑战的讨论。如果与符号人工智能技术(如知识表示和推理)相辅相成,数据驱动型人工智能的其余基本挑战(如事实或逻辑错误)是否会被彻底克服?人工通用智能(AGI)系统是否能从中脱颖而出,拥有常识,并在事实上完成数十年来对人工智能的追求,而这种追求正是 20 世纪 50 年代人工智能领域兴起的动力?鉴于这些问题,我们从混合人工智能的角度回顾了几十年来关于计算机能力和局限性的哲学争论。在此,我们将讨论混合人工智能如何越来越接近于推翻休伯特-德雷福斯(Hubert Dreyfus)关于计算机不能做什么的著名论断。与此同时,我们还揭示了混合人工智能面临的一个较少讨论的挑战:其开发者可能是其最大的限制者。
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What Can Computers Do Now? Dreyfus Revisited for the Third Wave of Artificial Intelligence
In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has seen significant advances that have in fact exceeded even optimistic prognoses. Using data-driven AI, namely deep learning techniques, it has been demonstrated that computers may now be equipped with abilities of remarkable scope and quality, such as solving image and text processing tasks at human level. Large language models, in particular, have sparked debates regarding opportunities and challenges of this rapidly developing area. Will remaining fundamental challenges of data-driven AI, such as factual or logical mistakes, be overcome for good if complemented and hybridized with symbolic AI techniques, such as knowledge representation and reasoning? Will systems of artificial general intelligence (AGI) emerge from this, possessing common sense and in fact completing the decades-old quest for AI that motivated the raise of the field in the 1950s? In the light of these questions, we review the likewise, decades-old philosophical debate about capabilities and limitations of computers from a hybrid AI point of view. Here, we discuss how hybrid AI is coming closer to disproving Hubert Dreyfus’ famous statements regarding what computers can not do. At the same time, we shed light on a lesser discussed challenge for hybrid AI: the possibility that its developers might be its biggest limiters.
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