软)违约后的生活

IF 2.8 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS European Economic Review Pub Date : 2024-06-22 DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104793
Giacomo De Giorgi , Costanza Naguib
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引用次数: 0

摘要

软违约(定义为拖欠 90 天或以上)是信贷市场中相对常见的事件,2010 年,此类事件影响了约 300 万人。然而,我们对之后发生的情况缺乏详细了解。我们利用 2004 年至 2020 年期间约 200 万人的信用报告数据,揭示了此类事件发生后的个人轨迹,并记录了持久的负面影响。这些影响在事件发生后长达 10 年的时间内持续存在,表现为信用评分降低、总信用额度减少、住房拥有率降低、收入减少以及搬迁到经济活动较不活跃的邮政编码。看来,那些抵押贷款额度过高、拖欠金额较大的人受到的影响最为严重。
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Life after (soft) default

Soft default, defined as a delinquency of 90 days or more, is a relatively common event in the credit market, in 2010 such episodes affected about 3 million individuals. Yet we lack a detailed understanding of what happens afterward. We use credit report data, on approximately 2 million individuals from 2004 to 2020, to shed light on individual trajectories after such event, and document enduring negative impacts. These effects persist for up to ten years post-event and manifest in lower credit scores, reduced total credit limits, lower homeownership rates, lower income, and relocation to less economically active zip codes. It appears that those who are overextended in their mortgage lines, and with larger delinquent amounts, suffer the harshest consequences.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
3.60%
发文量
170
期刊介绍: The European Economic Review (EER) started publishing in 1969 as the first research journal specifically aiming to contribute to the development and application of economics as a science in Europe. As a broad-based professional and international journal, the EER welcomes submissions of applied and theoretical research papers in all fields of economics. The aim of the EER is to contribute to the development of the science of economics and its applications, as well as to improve communication between academic researchers, teachers and policy makers across the European continent and beyond.
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