与生育可能性相关的个人和社会担忧

IF 4.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Population and Development Review Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI:10.1111/padr.12646
Kateryna Golovina, Markus Jokela
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引用次数: 0

摘要

以往的研究表明,对经济状况和工作保障的担忧与生育有关,但对其他个人和社会问题的担忧是否也与生育有关的证据却很少。本研究以德国社会经济小组研究为基础,探讨了对各种个人和社会问题的担忧与生育可能性之间的关系。根据探索性因素分析,担忧被分为社会/环境因素和经济/安全因素。Cox 回归模型显示,即使在调整了社会人口学特征、个性特征和政治态度后,社会/环境方面的担忧仍与生育子女的可能性降低有关。在具体的担忧中,对环境保护、气候变化、个人健康、和平、德国移民和对移民的敌意的担忧与生育子女的可能性降低有关。值得注意的是,对总体经济的担忧与无子女者成为父母的可能性降低密切相关,高度担忧经济的人成为父母的可能性降低了 25%。同样,对气候变化高度担忧的无子女者为人父母的可能性降低了 16%。我们的研究结果凸显了除经济不确定性外,其他担忧在生育中的作用,并表明当认为未来不确定时,生育率会下降。
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Personal and Social Worries Associated with the Likelihood of Having Children
Previous studies showed that worries about the economic situation and job security are associated with childbearing, but evidence is scarce on whether worries about other personal and social issues are also related to childbearing. Drawing on the German Socio‐Economic Panel Study, this study examined the relationship between worries about various personal and social issues and the likelihood of having children. Based on exploratory factor analysis, worries were categorized into social/environment and economy/safety factors. Cox regression models showed that social/environment worries were associated with a decreased likelihood of having children, even after adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, personality traits, and political attitudes. Among specific worries, concerns about environmental protection, climate change, personal health, peace, immigration to Germany, and hostility toward immigrants were linked to a decreased likelihood of having children. Notably, worries about the economy in general were strongly associated with a reduced probability of becoming a parent among childless individuals, with a 25 percent lower likelihood for those highly worried about it. Similarly, childless individuals highly worried about climate change exhibit a 16 percent lower likelihood of parenthood. Our findings highlight the role of other worries in childbearing in addition to economic uncertainty and suggest that fertility decreases when the future is perceived as uncertain.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
4.00%
发文量
60
期刊介绍: Population and Development Review is essential reading to keep abreast of population studies, research on the interrelationships between population and socioeconomic change, and related thinking on public policy. Its interests span both developed and developing countries, theoretical advances as well as empirical analyses and case studies, a broad range of disciplinary approaches, and concern with historical as well as present-day problems.
期刊最新文献
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