主要金融资产类别之间的流动性关联性:不确定性因素重要吗?

IF 2.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI:10.1007/s10690-024-09478-3
Ha-Phuong Bui, Thai Hong Le
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在研究 2014 年 9 月至 2022 年 11 月期间加密货币、石油、黄金、股票和债券等主要资产类别之间的流动性关联性。时变参数向量自回归(TVP-VAR)的结果表明,所研究的资产类别之间的流动性关联度普遍较低,比特币是流动性冲击的主要传播者,而石油和债券则是净接收者。接下来,我们采用双小波分析来研究流动性关联性指数(TCI)与各种不确定性因素之间的共同运动。我们的研究结果表明,流动性关联指数与不确定性因素之间的相关性较弱,尤其是流动性关联指数与地缘政治风险之间没有显著的相关性。然而,在 2014-2015 年和 2018-2021 年期间,仍然出现了一些明显的相关性。在前一时期,TCI 起主导作用,而在后一时期,TCI 则受到各种风险因素的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Liquidity Connectedness Among Major Financial Asset Classes: Do Uncertainty Factors Matter?

This paper aims to examine the liquidity connectedness between major asset classes, including cryptocurrencies, oil, gold, stocks, and bonds, over the period from September 2014 to November 2022. Results from the time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) show that the liquidity connectedness between the examined asset classes is generally low, with Bitcoin being the main transmitter of liquidity shocks while oil and bonds act as net receivers. Next, we employ the biwavelet analysis to investigate the co-movement between the liquidity connectedness index (TCI) and various uncertainty factors. Our findings suggest a weak correlation between the TCI and uncertainty factors, and especially no significant correlation between the TCI and geopolitical risk. However, some notable correlation still appears during the 2014–2015 and 2018–2021 periods. During the former period, the TCI plays the leading role, whereas during the latter period it is affected by various risk factors.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
34
期刊介绍: The current remarkable growth in the Asia-Pacific financial markets is certain to continue. These markets are expected to play a further important role in the world capital markets for investment and risk management. In accordance with this development, Asia-Pacific Financial Markets (formerly Financial Engineering and the Japanese Markets), the official journal of the Japanese Association of Financial Econometrics and Engineering (JAFEE), is expected to provide an international forum for researchers and practitioners in academia, industry, and government, who engage in empirical and/or theoretical research into the financial markets. We invite submission of quality papers on all aspects of finance and financial engineering. Here we interpret the term ''financial engineering'' broadly enough to cover such topics as financial time series, portfolio analysis, global asset allocation, trading strategy for investment, optimization methods, macro monetary economic analysis and pricing models for various financial assets including derivatives We stress that purely theoretical papers, as well as empirical studies that use Asia-Pacific market data, are welcome. Officially cited as: Asia-Pac Financ Markets
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