绘制有理论依据的因果关系图,以检查和改进有关全球挑战的政策说明

IF 1.7 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT System Dynamics Review Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI:10.1002/sdr.1788
Raquel Froese Buzogany, Birgit Kopainsky, Paulo Gonçalves
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引用次数: 0

摘要

可持续发展目标呼吁所有国家采取行动,加快实施应对世界最大挑战的解决方案。虽然实现这些目标的政策组合应该是多种多样的,但主导性的政策叙述往往围绕着有限的主题。我们采用基础理论方法,从定性数据中找出因果关系,将影响全球挑战的多个领域的变量之间的相互作用可视化。我们绘制了一个全面的因果循环图,评估了主流政策叙事的影响,并扩大了政策选项的制定范围。我们的方法是定性系统动力学应用的典范,可用于提炼政策叙事的运作逻辑,随后可在基于模型的政策分析中加以考虑。我们通过关注贫困与饥饿之间的相互作用来说明我们的方法,并比较了仅从主导叙述中得出的政策影响与从对相互作用的更全面理解中得出的政策影响。© 2024 作者简介系统动力学评论》由 John Wiley & Sons Ltd 代表系统动力学学会出版。
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Developing theoretically grounded causal maps to examine and improve policy narratives about global challenges
The Sustainable Development Goals present a call to action for all countries to accelerate the implementation of solutions to address the world's biggest challenges. While policy portfolios to achieve such goals should be varied, often dominant policy narratives cluster around limited themes. We use a grounded theory approach to elicit causality from qualitative data to visualize interactions across variables spanning multiple domains influencing global challenges. We develop a comprehensive causal loop diagram, where we assess the impact of dominant policy narratives and expand the formulation of policy options. Our approach serves as an exemplar application of qualitative system dynamics to distill the operational logic of policy narratives that can subsequently be considered in model‐based policy analysis. We illustrate our approach by focusing on the interactions among poverty and hunger and compare policy implications arising from the dominant narratives only versus those arising from a more comprehensive understanding of the interactions. © 2024 The Author(s). System Dynamics Review published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of System Dynamics Society.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
8.30%
发文量
22
期刊介绍: The System Dynamics Review exists to communicate to a wide audience advances in the application of the perspectives and methods of system dynamics to societal, technical, managerial, and environmental problems. The Review publishes: advances in mathematical modelling and computer simulation of dynamic feedback systems; advances in methods of policy analysis based on information feedback and circular causality; generic structures (dynamic feedback systems that support particular widely applicable behavioural insights); system dynamics contributions to theory building in the social and natural sciences; policy studies and debate emphasizing the role of feedback and circular causality in problem behaviour.
期刊最新文献
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