评估全球敏感性分析的趋同性:评估和监测趋同性方法综述

Xifu Sun, A. Jakeman, B. Croke, Stephen G. Roberts, J.D. Jakeman
{"title":"评估全球敏感性分析的趋同性:评估和监测趋同性方法综述","authors":"Xifu Sun, A. Jakeman, B. Croke, Stephen G. Roberts, J.D. Jakeman","doi":"10.18174/sesmo.18678","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In global sensitivity analysis (GSA) of a model, a proper convergence analysis of metrics is essential for ensuring a level of confidence or trustworthiness in sensitivity results obtained, yet is somewhat deficient in practice. The level of confidence in sensitivity measures, particularly in relation to their influence and support for decisions from scientific, social and policy perspectives, is heavily reliant on the convergence of GSA. We review the literature and summarize the available methods for monitoring and assessing convergence of sensitivity measures based on application purposes. The aim is to expose the various choices for convergence assessment and encourage further testing of available methods to clarify their level of robustness. Furthermore, the review identifies a pressing need for comparative studies on convergence assessment methods to establish a clear hierarchy of effectiveness and encourages the adoption of systematic approaches for enhanced robustness in sensitivity analysis.","PeriodicalId":493105,"journal":{"name":"Socio-environmental systems modelling","volume":"115 26","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Assessing convergence in global sensitivity analysis: a review of methods for assessing and monitoring convergence\",\"authors\":\"Xifu Sun, A. Jakeman, B. Croke, Stephen G. Roberts, J.D. Jakeman\",\"doi\":\"10.18174/sesmo.18678\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In global sensitivity analysis (GSA) of a model, a proper convergence analysis of metrics is essential for ensuring a level of confidence or trustworthiness in sensitivity results obtained, yet is somewhat deficient in practice. The level of confidence in sensitivity measures, particularly in relation to their influence and support for decisions from scientific, social and policy perspectives, is heavily reliant on the convergence of GSA. We review the literature and summarize the available methods for monitoring and assessing convergence of sensitivity measures based on application purposes. The aim is to expose the various choices for convergence assessment and encourage further testing of available methods to clarify their level of robustness. Furthermore, the review identifies a pressing need for comparative studies on convergence assessment methods to establish a clear hierarchy of effectiveness and encourages the adoption of systematic approaches for enhanced robustness in sensitivity analysis.\",\"PeriodicalId\":493105,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Socio-environmental systems modelling\",\"volume\":\"115 26\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-09\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Socio-environmental systems modelling\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"0\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.18174/sesmo.18678\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Socio-environmental systems modelling","FirstCategoryId":"0","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.18174/sesmo.18678","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

在对模型进行全局敏感性分析(GSA)时,对指标进行适当的收敛性分析对于确保所获敏感性结果的可信度或可信性至关重要,但在实践中却有些不足。灵敏度测量结果的可信度,尤其是其对科学、社会和政策决策的影响和支持程度,在很大程度上取决于 GSA 的收敛性。我们回顾了相关文献,总结了基于应用目的监测和评估灵敏度测量收敛性的现有方法。其目的是揭示收敛性评估的各种选择,并鼓励对现有方法进行进一步测试,以明确其稳健性水平。此外,审查还发现迫切需要对收敛性评估方法进行比较研究,以确定明确的有效性等级,并鼓励采用系统方法来增强敏感性分析的稳健性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Assessing convergence in global sensitivity analysis: a review of methods for assessing and monitoring convergence
In global sensitivity analysis (GSA) of a model, a proper convergence analysis of metrics is essential for ensuring a level of confidence or trustworthiness in sensitivity results obtained, yet is somewhat deficient in practice. The level of confidence in sensitivity measures, particularly in relation to their influence and support for decisions from scientific, social and policy perspectives, is heavily reliant on the convergence of GSA. We review the literature and summarize the available methods for monitoring and assessing convergence of sensitivity measures based on application purposes. The aim is to expose the various choices for convergence assessment and encourage further testing of available methods to clarify their level of robustness. Furthermore, the review identifies a pressing need for comparative studies on convergence assessment methods to establish a clear hierarchy of effectiveness and encourages the adoption of systematic approaches for enhanced robustness in sensitivity analysis.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
Assessing convergence in global sensitivity analysis: a review of methods for assessing and monitoring convergence Reflections on SES modeling: Stop me if you’ve heard this Reflections on SES modeling: Stop me if you’ve heard this Global sensitivity analysis of the dynamics of a distributed hydrological model at the catchment scale
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1