反传统者推动社会转型,促进表达不断变化的偏好

Dhruv Mittal, Sara M Constantino, Vítor V Vasconcelos
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摘要

世界正在努力应对气候变化、污染、生物多样性丧失和流行病等新出现的、紧迫的、大规模的问题,这些问题需要立即采取协调一致的行动。即使没有全面的政策措施,一致性和社会规范等社会过程也能帮助维持行为(如群体合作)或推动社会快速变革(如屋顶太阳能的快速普及)。虽然对个体异质性在此类过程中的作用已有深入研究,但对个体偏好的表达以及反顺从者--重视与他人不同行为的个体--的作用(尤其是在动态环境中)的研究却很有限。我们在博弈论集体决策框架中引入了反顺从者,该框架包括一个由对两种备选方案具有不同偏好的代理组成的复杂网络。我们研究了反传统者的存在如何改变人们表达不断变化的个人偏好的能力。我们发现,即使偏好与流行规范相左,反传统者也会促进偏好的表达,从而打破 "沉默的螺旋",即当个人认为他人不赞同其偏好时,就不会采取行动。将反顺从者置于中心位置,可以将人群表达其偏好所需的反顺从者数量减少 5 倍。在以前不受欢迎的选择成为首选的动态环境中,反传统者会催化社会倾覆,减少 "文化滞后",其作用甚至超过了坚定的少数群体--即致力于特定事业的个人--的作用。这项研究强调了不同声音在塑造集体行为中的作用,包括它们在新技术变得有利时催化新技术采用的潜力,以及通过促进观点表达来丰富民主的潜力。
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Anti-conformists catalyze societal transitions and facilitate the expression of evolving preferences
The world is grappling with emerging, urgent, large-scale problems such as climate change, pollution, biodiversity loss, and pandemics, which demand immediate and coordinated action. Social processes like conformity and social norms can either help maintain behaviors (e.g., cooperation in groups) or drive rapid societal change (e.g., rapid rooftop solar uptake), even without comprehensive policy measures. While the role of individual heterogeneity in such processes is well-studied, there is limited work on the expression of individuals' preferences and the role of anti-conformists—individuals who value acting differently from others—especially in dynamic environments. We introduce anti-conformists into a game-theoretical collective decision-making framework that includes a complex network of agents with heterogeneous preferences about two alternative options. We study how anti-conformists' presence changes the population's ability to express evolving personal preferences. We find that anti-conformists facilitate the expression of preferences, even when they diverge from prevailing norms, breaking the “spiral of silence” whereby individuals do not act on their preferences when they believe others disapprove. Centrally placed anti-conformists reduce by 5-fold the number of anti-conformists needed for a population to express its preferences. In dynamic environments where a previously unpopular choice becomes preferred, anti-conformists catalyze social tipping and reduce the ‘cultural lag,’ even beyond the role of committed minorities—that is, individuals with a commitment to a specific cause. This research highlights the role of dissenting voices in shaping collective behavior, including their potential to catalyze the adoption of new technologies as they become favorable and to enrich democracy by facilitating the expression of views.
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