白俄罗斯、俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦的生产和消费技术水平

Mikalai Zianchuk
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摘要

创新型经济增长不仅以确保总供给增长的技术开发为基础。如果没有消费品的不断创新来推动总需求的增长,这种增长是不可能实现的。同时,在现代经济理论中,研究者的注意力主要集中在工程和技术的发展上,消费品领域的创新作用并没有与技术和工艺创新分开研究。本文分析了生产创新和消费创新在经济增长中的特殊作用。文章介绍了作者开发的用于衡量消费技术水平的方法,以及用于比较国民经济中生产技术水平和消费技术水平的方法。根据统计数据,计算了俄罗斯联邦、白俄罗斯共和国和哈萨克斯坦的生产和消费技术水平。本文介绍了生产和消费技术水平动态分析的结果。我们还评估了各国国民经济中生产和消费技术能力之间的对应水平。通过这种分析,我们可以预测在创新发展方面处于追赶地位的国家的发展可能面临的威胁,也可以预测在创新发展方面处于领先地位的国家经济增长放缓的危险。
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THE TECHNOLOGICAL LEVELS OF PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION OF BELARUS, RUSSIA, AND KAZAKHSTAN
Innovative economic growth is not only based on the development of technologies that ensure the growth of aggregate supply. This type of growth is impossible without constant innovation in consumer goods that drive growth in aggregate demand. At the same time, in modern economic theory, the attention of researchers focuses mainly on the development of engineering and technology and the role of innovation in the field of consumer goods has not been studied separately from technical and technological innovations. The article analyzes the special roles of production innovations and consumer innovations in economic growth. A methodology developed by the author is presented for measuring the technological level of consumption, as well as for comparing the production technological level and the consumption technological level in the national economy. Based on statistical data, technological levels of production and consumption were calculated for the Russian Federation, the Republic of Belarus, and Kazakhstan. The results of analysis of the dynamics of the production and consumption technological levels are presented. The level of сorrespondence between the technological capabilities of production and consumption within the national economies of the countries under consideration is evaluated. Such an analysis allows us to anticipate possible threats to the development of countries occupying a catching-up position in innovative development, as well as to anticipate the danger of a slowdown in economic growth for countries that are leaders in innovative development.
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