全球可可价格暴涨及其对泰米尔纳德邦可可种植园的影响--批判性分析

C. Sudhalakshmi, J. Lekhavarshinee, P. Latha, J. Suresh
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摘要

可可属于软木科,原产于南美洲,后来传播到欧洲、非洲和亚洲。在泰米尔纳德邦,可可作为间作作物被种植在坚果和椰子种植园中,尤其是在南印度。但在过去几年中,可可种植面积持续下降,目前徘徊在 5000 公顷左右,尤其集中在该邦的哥印拜陀、德尼和卡尼亚库马里地区。价格波动是导致该邦可可种植面积减少的关键因素。但最近全球可可短缺,这与气候变化无常以及世界主要可可生产国的肿芽病毒和黑荚病等生物压力有关,这促使印度的可可豆价格出现了积极的变化。西非国家禁止砍伐森林、雇用童工耕种和可可种植园投资不足等政府政策也加剧了这一问题。2023 年第四季度和 2024 年第一季度,可可价格上涨了 10 倍,创下历史新高。根据国际可可组织的预测,2023/2024 可可季全球可可供应量将下降近 11%。全球可可价格对泰米尔纳德邦的可可种植园产生了直接影响,因为许多可可果园因缺乏合理价格而被清理。但是,全球可可价格的大幅上涨促使泰米尔纳德邦的农民重新恢复被遗弃的可可种植园并扩大种植面积,因为价格是导致农民在 2010 年代放弃种植可可的关键因素。全球可可价格的大幅上涨为泰米尔纳德邦扩大可可种植面积带来了一线希望。
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Abysmal Hike in Global Cocoa Price and its Implications on Cocoa Plantations in Tamil Nadu - A Critical Analysis
Cocoa belonging to the family Sterculiaceae has its origin in South America and later it had spread to Europe, Africa and Asia. In Tamil Nadu, cocoa is accommodated as an intercrop in arecanut and coconut plantations especially in South India. But over the past few years, the acreage under cocoa showed a steady decline and the area currently hovers around 5,000 ha especially concentrated in Coimbatore, Theni and Kanyakumari districts of the state. Price volatility is the key player in culminating cocoa plantations in the state. But the recent global shortage of cocoa associated with climatic vagaries and biotic stress like swollen shoot virus and black pod disease in the leading cocoa producers of the world has prompted a positive note in the price of cocoa beans in India. Government policies like ban on deforestation and engaging child labourers for farming and underinvestment in cocoa gardens in the West African countries also added hue to the problem. A record high of ten fold increase in price was observed during the last quarter of 2023 and first quarter of 2024. According to the International Cocoa Organization, global cocoa supply will decline by almost 11% over the 2023/2024 season. Global price has a direct impact on cocoa plantations in the state of Tamil Nadu as many cocoa orchards were cleared due to the lack of remunerative price. But the abysmal price hike in the global front has invited the farmers to rejuvenate the abandoned cocoa plantations and bring new area under cultivation in Tamil Nadu as price was the key player in giving up the crop during 2010s by the farmers. Abysmal hike in global cocoa price has brought a ray of hope for the expanding acreage of cocoa in the state of Tamil Nadu.
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