快讯:不同消费者和背景下酒店需求曲线的异质性

Gabrielle Lin, Jason Li Chen, Haiyan Song
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摘要

本研究构建了细分层次的酒店需求曲线,以揭示不同消费者在正常时期和危机时期(以大流行病为例)需求曲线的异质性。新颖的需求建模技术拟合了非线性需求曲线,将弹性动态参数化,并可按基本值对需求曲线进行比较。拟合了三种酒店类型在正常和大流行情况下的需求曲线,并根据消费者的社会人口统计、偏好和风险承受能力进行了分解。大流行使中档[高档]酒店的需求曲线更加缺乏弹性[弹性],并减轻[放大]了个体差异对需求曲线的影响,而经济型酒店的需求曲线则不受大流行的影响。研究结果为不同酒店的业务运营提供了启示,包括最佳定价、不同消费群体的定制营销以及健康危机情况下的业务策略。
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EXPRESS: The Heterogeneity of Hotel Demand Curves across Consumers and Contexts
This study constructs hotel demand curves at the disaggregate level to uncover the heterogeneity of demand curves across consumers and during both normal periods and times of crisis, exemplified by the pandemic. The novel demand modeling technique fits nonlinear demand curves, parameterizes elasticity dynamics, and enables the comparison of demand curves by essential value. The demand curves for three hotel types in normal and pandemic situations are fitted and decomposed by consumers’ sociodemographics, preferences, and risk tolerance. A pandemic makes the demand curve for midscale [upscale] hotels more inelastic [elastic] and mitigates [amplifies] the influence of individual differences on the demand curve, whereas the demand curve for economy hotels is unaffected by the pandemic. The findings offer insights into the business operations of different hotels, including optimal pricing, customized marketing across consumer segments, and business strategies in case of a health crisis.
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