人工智能对劳动力的影响：任务还是工作？

IF 2.1 4区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Economics Letters Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111971

Kathryn Bonney , Cory Breaux , Catherine Buffington , Emin Dinlersoz , Lucia Foster , Nathan Goldschlag , John Haltiwanger , Zachary Kroff , Keith Savage

{"title":"人工智能对劳动力的影响：任务还是工作？","authors":"Kathryn Bonney , Cory Breaux , Catherine Buffington , Emin Dinlersoz , Lucia Foster , Nathan Goldschlag , John Haltiwanger , Zachary Kroff , Keith Savage","doi":"10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111971","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Will the adoption of AI by businesses substitute for worker tasks or jobs? This is a core question for which relatively scarce evidence exists—especially in the wake of recent advances in generative AI. Using a new large-scale business survey by the U.S. Census Bureau, we find that AI use is having a much greater impact on worker tasks than on employment levels at the firm level. About 27% of firms using AI report replacing worker tasks, but only about 5% experience employment change due to AI use. These rates are expected to increase to nearly 35% and 12%, respectively, in the near future.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":11468,"journal":{"name":"Economics Letters","volume":"244 ","pages":"Article 111971"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The impact of AI on the workforce: Tasks versus jobs?\",\"authors\":\"Kathryn Bonney , Cory Breaux , Catherine Buffington , Emin Dinlersoz , Lucia Foster , Nathan Goldschlag , John Haltiwanger , Zachary Kroff , Keith Savage\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111971\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>Will the adoption of AI by businesses substitute for worker tasks or jobs? This is a core question for which relatively scarce evidence exists—especially in the wake of recent advances in generative AI. Using a new large-scale business survey by the U.S. Census Bureau, we find that AI use is having a much greater impact on worker tasks than on employment levels at the firm level. About 27% of firms using AI report replacing worker tasks, but only about 5% experience employment change due to AI use. These rates are expected to increase to nearly 35% and 12%, respectively, in the near future.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":11468,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economics Letters\",\"volume\":\"244 \",\"pages\":\"Article 111971\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-13\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economics Letters\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176524004555\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economics Letters","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176524004555","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

摘要

企业采用人工智能是否会取代工人的任务或工作？这是一个证据相对匮乏的核心问题--尤其是在生成式人工智能取得最新进展之后。我们利用美国人口普查局（U.S. Census Bureau）最新的大规模企业调查发现，在企业层面，人工智能的使用对工人任务的影响远大于对就业水平的影响。在使用人工智能的企业中，约有 27% 的企业报告称工人的工作任务被取代，但只有约 5% 的企业因使用人工智能而导致就业率发生变化。预计在不久的将来，这两个比例将分别增至近 35% 和 12%。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文

微信好友朋友圈 QQ好友复制链接

本刊更多论文

The impact of AI on the workforce: Tasks versus jobs?

Will the adoption of AI by businesses substitute for worker tasks or jobs? This is a core question for which relatively scarce evidence exists—especially in the wake of recent advances in generative AI. Using a new large-scale business survey by the U.S. Census Bureau, we find that AI use is having a much greater impact on worker tasks than on employment levels at the firm level. About 27% of firms using AI report replacing worker tasks, but only about 5% experience employment change due to AI use. These rates are expected to increase to nearly 35% and 12%, respectively, in the near future.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

Economics Letters ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

3.20

自引率

5.00%

发文量

348

审稿时长

30 days

期刊介绍： Many economists today are concerned by the proliferation of journals and the concomitant labyrinth of research to be conquered in order to reach the specific information they require. To combat this tendency, Economics Letters has been conceived and designed outside the realm of the traditional economics journal. As a Letters Journal, it consists of concise communications (letters) that provide a means of rapid and efficient dissemination of new results, models and methods in all fields of economic research.

期刊最新文献

Carbon assurance, corporate capital structure, and debt maturity: Global evidence Beyond the Blackwell order in dichotomies Technical efficiency of SO2 scrubbers with byproduct contracts Matching workers to firms facing budget constraints Does the income elasticity of energy demand vary with the stages of economic development?