从链接预测的角度看长江三角洲地区工业网络的演化机制。

IF 2.9 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES PLoS ONE Pub Date : 2024-09-20 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0308544
Yue Shen, Yixin Ren, Yiwen Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

长江三角洲(长三角)是国家经济发展的重要引擎和国际竞争的主导区域。随着长三角地区经济交流和资源流动的日益密切,区域间产业关联度不断增强,形成了以 "复合网络 "为特征的产业网络结构。工业部门之间的联系强度以及工业在网络中存在的价值和重要性会随着时间的推移而发生变化,从而导致长三角地区工业网络的整体演变。本文以长三角地区2012年和2017年的投入产出表为基础,运用网络结构相似度预测指标构建长三角地区产业网络联系预测模型,通过比较分析,选取效果最佳的随机游走相似度RWR指标,计算长三角地区未来产业间联系的可能性,得出以下结论:(1)长三角地区各省市产业同质性较高,形成同质化竞争;(2)长三角产业布局的整体性不突出,缺乏跨区域产业合作的深度和力度。在分析研究的基础上,从政府宏观层面和产业中观层面提出有效实现产业一体化的对策建议,使长三角地区的产业网络更加完善,跨区域产业链的长度和宽度更加广泛。
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Evolution mechanism of industrial network in Yangtze River Delta region from the perspective of link prediction.

The Yangtze River Delta (YRD) is an important engine of national economic development and a leading region in international competition. As economic exchanges and resource flows in the YRD region become closer, the inter-regional industrial linkages continue to grow, resulting in the formation of an industrial network structure characterized by a "complex network". The strength of the links between industrial sectors and the value and significance of the existence of industries in the network change over time, thus causing the overall evolution of the industrial network in the YRD region. Based on the input-output tables of the YRD region in 2012 and 2017, this paper uses the prediction index of network structure similarity to construct the prediction model of industrial network link between the YRD regions, and calculates the possibility of future links between industries in the Yangtze River Delta region through comparative analysis and selection of the RWR index of random walk similarity with the best effect, and concludes that: (1) the homogeneity of industries among provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Delta region is relatively high, resulting in homogeneous competition; (2) the overall nature of the industrial layout of the YRD is not prominent, and the depth and intensity of cross-regional industrial cooperation are lacking. On the basis of analysis and research, the countermeasures and suggestions for effectively realizing industrial integration are put forward from the macro level of the government and the meso level of the industry, so as to achieve a more complete industrial network in the YRD region and a more extensive length and width of the cross-regional industrial chain.

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来源期刊
PLoS ONE
PLoS ONE 生物-生物学
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
5.40%
发文量
14242
审稿时长
3.7 months
期刊介绍: PLOS ONE is an international, peer-reviewed, open-access, online publication. PLOS ONE welcomes reports on primary research from any scientific discipline. It provides: * Open-access—freely accessible online, authors retain copyright * Fast publication times * Peer review by expert, practicing researchers * Post-publication tools to indicate quality and impact * Community-based dialogue on articles * Worldwide media coverage
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