对破坏自然的看法如何影响对强化地热系统的支持:一项跨国研究。

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-10-08 DOI:10.1111/risa.17656
Julia Cousse, Katherine McComas, Catherine Lambert, Dominic Balog-Way, Evelina Trutnevyte
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引用次数: 0

摘要

许多人认为,强化地热系统(EGS)可以大大提高全球地热能源的开采量,帮助实现热能和电力生产的去碳化。有效的沟通是实现 EGS 潜力的关键,但我们目前对公众如何看待这项新兴技术知之甚少。这项探索性研究通过在美国(n = 1003)和瑞士(n = 1028)这两个拥有活跃 EGS 项目的国家进行跨国调查,为相关文献做出了贡献。具体而言,我们探讨了对 EGS 的支持与人们对地下深处的看法以及对 EGS 破坏自然的看法之间的关系。结果显示,受访者倾向于认为地下深处是大自然的一部分,具有危险性和不可预测性。尽管在具体的地下活动方面存在差异,但大多数人对将地下深处作为一种资源加以利用持积极态度。在这两个国家,认为地下资源可供人类使用、认为 EGS 带来的好处多于风险、支持本国向可再生能源转型的受访者对 EGS 的支持度更高。在瑞士,对 EGS 的支持与对行业开发商的信任呈正相关,与认为 EGS 破坏自然的看法呈负相关。研究结果为人们了解地下深处与能源开发的关系提供了新颖的理论见解。从实践的角度来看,研究结果表明,那些寻求开发 EGS 的人可能需要考虑如何让人们熟悉当前的地下能源活动,包括努力保护地下免受 "篡改 "带来的不必要后果,同时参与有关 EGS 风险和益处的讨论。
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How beliefs about tampering with nature influence support for enhanced geothermal systems: A cross-national study.

Many believe that enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) can greatly increase the extraction of geothermal energy worldwide, helping to decarbonize heat and electricity production. Effective communication is key to realizing the potential of EGS, yet we currently know little about how the public perceives this emerging technology. This exploratory study contributes to the literature with a cross-national survey in the United States (n = 1003) and Switzerland (n = 1028), two countries with active EGS projects. Specifically, we explore how EGS support relates to beliefs about the deep underground and perceptions of EGS as tampering with nature. The results show that respondents tend to perceive the deep underground as part of nature, dangerous, and unpredictable. The majority are positive about using the deep underground as a resource, although there were variations regarding specific underground activities. In both countries, EGS support is greater for respondents who perceive the underground as something for human use, perceive more benefits than risks from EGS, and support their country's transition to renewable energy. In Switzerland, EGS support is positively related to trust in industry developers and negatively related to perceptions that EGS is tampering with nature. The results offer novel theoretical insights into perceptions of the deep underground in relation to energy development. From a practical standpoint, the results suggest that those seeking to develop EGS may want to consider how to familiarize individuals with current subsurface energy activities, including efforts to protect the underground from unwanted consequences of "tampering," alongside engaging in discussions about the risks and benefits of EGS.

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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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