Trend Analysis of Lung Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Xiamen (2011-2020).

Objective: To analyze the trends of lung cancer incidence and mortality in Xiamen from 2011 to 2020 and provide some clues for the lung cancer prevention and control.

Methods: The data was obtained from the Xiamen City Cancer Register in Fujian Province, China. The data was updated on Sep 30, 2023. The codes of C33-C34 were used to identify the lung cancer. The newly diagnosed lung cancer patients during the period of 2011-2020 in Xiamen City were included in the evaluation of incidence and mortality and Cox analysis.

Results: A total of 11408 lung cancer patients were enrolled. The crude incidence rate was 52.78 per 100000 and the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIWR) was 40.67 per 100000 from 2011 to 2020. Both the crude incidence rate of lung cancer (AAPC =5.92, P value <0.001) and ASIWR (AAPC = 4.93, P value <0.001) showed increasing trends. The crude incidence rate in female increased 4.90 times faster as that in male (AAPC: 12.34/2.52). The crude mortality rate and the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMWR) were 37.25 per 100000 and 28.30 per100000. The 5-year age-standardized relative survival rate (ARS) was 18.62% (95% CI: 17.63-19.67%). The 5-year ARS was higher in women than men (26.35% vs 15.28%) and higher in urban than rural areas (21.44% vs 11.96%). Patients with lower education levels had significantly lower ARS than those with higher education (14.66% vs 31.53%). The 5-year ARS improved notably from 2016-2020 compared to 2011-2015 (22.23% vs 13.21%). Farmers had the lowest ARS among occupations [13.34% (95% CI:11.93-14.92%)]. There were all increasing trends in 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year ARS rates between 2011 and 2020 (all P values of AAPC<0.05).

Conclusion: Lung cancer incidence in Xiamen increased, while mortality decreased with improved survival. Developing more perfect need to consider the differences in the social environment and other factors.