利用 AIMSUN 模型评估城市干线公路的减排政策

IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI:10.1155/2024/6309854
Meshack W. Okebe, Silvester O. Abuodha, Meshack O. A. Ochieng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

城市的快速发展和日益拥堵的交通使汽车尾气排放更加严重,尤其是在发展中国家。世界各国政府目前正依靠法规和政策来有效管理和减少这些排放。这种排放控制方法的变化也发生在发展中国家。在本研究中,使用校准过的综合交通和排放模型(AIMSUN)对这些政策措施的影响进行了量化,并分析了两种假设情景:一种情景是电动汽车(EV)取代研究地区的传统内燃电动汽车(ICEV),另一种情景是假设严格执行欧 4/IV 排放标准。结果表明,提高电动汽车的比例可显著减少排放量,但需要增加电池消耗量,这凸显了减少排放量与增加能源需求之间的权衡。实施欧 4/IV 标准可以大大减少排放,尤其是摩托车和卡车的排放。这表明,以这些类别为重点,采用分阶段实施的方法,可以带来显著的环境效益。发展中国家的政策制定者应采取综合方法,而不是实施严格的政策。在做出任何决定之前,他们必须仔细权衡政策工具的利弊。本研究表明,交通微观模拟模型与排放模型相结合,可用于循证决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Evaluating Emission Reduction Policies along an Urban Arterial Highway Using the AIMSUN Model

The rapid growth of cities and the increasing traffic congestion have made vehicle emissions worse, especially in developing countries. Governments worldwide are now relying on regulations and policies to manage and reduce these emissions effectively. This change in approach towards emission control is also happening in developing nations. In this study, the effects of these policy measures are quantified using a calibrated integrated traffic and emission model (AIMSUN), and two hypothetical scenarios were analyzed: one scenario is where electric vehicles (EVs) replace traditional internal combustion EVs (ICEVs) in the study area and another scenario is assuming strict implementation of Euro 4/IV emission standards. The results showed that shifting towards a higher proportion of EVs leads to significant reductions in emissions but requires increased battery consumption, highlighting the trade-off between reducing emissions and higher energy demand. Implementing Euro 4/IV standards could considerably reduce emissions, especially from motorcycles and trucks. It suggests that focusing on these categories with a phased implementation approach could bring significant environmental benefits. Policymakers in developing countries should adopt a rounded approach instead of implementing strict policies. It is crucial for them to carefully weigh the pros and cons of policy instruments before making any decisions. This study shows how traffic micro-simulation modeling coupled with emission models can be used in evidence-based decision-making.

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来源期刊
Journal of Advanced Transportation
Journal of Advanced Transportation 工程技术-工程:土木
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
8.70%
发文量
466
审稿时长
7.3 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Advanced Transportation (JAT) is a fully peer reviewed international journal in transportation research areas related to public transit, road traffic, transport networks and air transport. It publishes theoretical and innovative papers on analysis, design, operations, optimization and planning of multi-modal transport networks, transit & traffic systems, transport technology and traffic safety. Urban rail and bus systems, Pedestrian studies, traffic flow theory and control, Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) and automated and/or connected vehicles are some topics of interest. Highway engineering, railway engineering and logistics do not fall within the aims and scope of JAT.
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