Ecosystem water limitation shifts driven by soil moisture in the Loess Plateau, China

In the context of climate change, the functionality of ecosystems is primarily influenced by the availability of water and energy supply. However, there is limited research that comprehensively uses energy indicators to explore how climate change affects the water and energy limiting states of ecosystems. Here we evaluated the historical and future water and energy limitations using the Ecosystem Limitation Index (ELI) derived from evapotranspiration (ET), soil moisture (SM), net radiation (Rn), and air temperature (Ta), and conducted an in-depth analysis of the dominant factors. The results indicate that: (1) The degree of water limitation deepened initially and then weakened. Over 68 % of the region became drier initially, while over 83 % became wetter later. (2) In terms of area, soil moisture emerged as a critical factor influencing the variations in water and energy constraints within the Loess Plateau. Further research revealed the range of critical soil moisture (CSM) for the transition of water-energy limitation state is 0.286 mm³mm⁻³, and it varies with changes in temperature, soil texture, vegetation cover, and season. (3) Future projections suggest a transition towards heightened water limitations across the Loess Plateau. These findings underscore the efficacy of ELI in assessing and predicting dynamic ecosystem changes, offering valuable insights into the impacts of climate change on water and energy cycles within semi-arid ecosystems.