指责没有稻草的砖匠:决策质量判断中的约束忽视

IF 1.5 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Journal of Behavioral Decision Making Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI:10.1002/bdm.70006
Xilin Li, Christopher K. Hsee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人们常常会判断他人做出的选择决策的质量:公司的首席执行官可能会判断公司人力资源人员做出的招聘决策的质量;期刊的读者可以判断期刊编辑是否接受稿件。为了准确判断他人的选择决策质量,评估者不仅要考虑选择决策的结果,还要考虑决策者的约束条件。例如,为了判断人力资源人员做出的招聘决策的质量,CEO不仅要考虑人力资源人员雇用了多少高素质(与低素质)的候选人,还要考虑有多少高素质(与低素质)的候选人申请了职位,以及人力资源人员需要雇用多少候选人。我们的理论是,评估者倾向于忽略这些约束,因此,判断面临较大约束的决策者比面临较小约束的决策者做出了更糟糕的决策,即使前者的决策实际上与后者一样好或更好。我们把这种现象称为责怪没有稻草的砖匠(源自谚语“巧妇难为无米之炊”)。八项研究采用混合方法,论证了“责怪没有稻草的砖匠”效应,考察了其潜在机制,并提出了提高判断选择决策质量的方法。
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Blaming the Strawless Brickmaker: Constraint Neglect in Judging Decision Quality

People often judge the quality of selection decisions made by others: The CEO of a firm may judge the quality of hiring decisions made by the firm's HR personnel; the readers of a journal may judge the quality of manuscript-acceptance decisions by the journal's editor. To accurately judge others' selection decision quality, evaluators should consider not only the outcome of the selection decisions but also the constraints of the decision-maker. For example, to judge the quality of the hiring decisions made by the HR personnel, the CEO should consider not only how many high-quality (vs. low-quality) candidates the HR personnel hired, but also how many high-quality (vs. low-quality) candidates applied, and how many candidates the HR personnel needed to hire. We theorize that evaluators tend to overlook these constraints, and, consequently, judge decision-makers who faced greater constraints as having made worse decisions than decisions-makers who faced lesser constraints, even if the former's decisions were actually as good as or better than the latter's. We refer to this phenomenon as Blaming the Strawless Brickmaker (from the saying “making bricks without straw”). Eight studies, employing mixed methods, demonstrate the Blaming-the-Strawless-Brickmaker effect, examine its underlying mechanism, and suggest ways to improve the quality of judged selection decision quality.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
5.00%
发文量
40
期刊介绍: The Journal of Behavioral Decision Making is a multidisciplinary journal with a broad base of content and style. It publishes original empirical reports, critical review papers, theoretical analyses and methodological contributions. The Journal also features book, software and decision aiding technique reviews, abstracts of important articles published elsewhere and teaching suggestions. The objective of the Journal is to present and stimulate behavioral research on decision making and to provide a forum for the evaluation of complementary, contrasting and conflicting perspectives. These perspectives include psychology, management science, sociology, political science and economics. Studies of behavioral decision making in naturalistic and applied settings are encouraged.
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