实现能源弹性:中国可再生能源和化石燃料发电驱动因素及COPE-28路径研究

IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Energy Strategy Reviews Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-06 DOI:10.1016/j.esr.2025.101669
Shengmiao Han , Badrul Hisham Bin Kamaruddin , Xing Shi , Jerome Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在根据COPE-28的指导方针,确定可再生能源和化石能源生产对中国能源弹性的作用。本研究考察了2002年至2021年期间能源生产与经济增长之间的关系。本研究采用相关性分析、持续性分析、同质性分析、单位根检验、ARDL结合检验技术、FMOLS、稳健性检验等方法来确定结果的有效性。这些发现表明,可再生能源的部署与能源弹性之间存在直接的相互作用,而化石燃料的倾向是长期可持续性的障碍。研究结果证实,使用可再生能源增加了弹性,而依赖化石燃料则降低了可持续性。因此,本研究证明了综合能源政策的重要性,即将可再生能源与向化石燃料的长期过渡相结合,以支撑韧性目标。研究结果对政策制定者帮助中国转向可持续能源管理工作具有明确的价值。因此,决策者需要谨慎地将研究成果纳入政策规划和执行中。
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Achieving energy resilience: Studying renewable and fossil fuel energy generation drivers and COPE-28 pathways of China
This study intends to determine the part played by energy production from renewable as well as fossil energy resources towards energy resilience in China, based on the guidelines of the COPE-28. This research has examined the relationship between energy generation and economic growth FDI for the period 2002 to 2021. The study employs correlation, persistence analysis, homogeneity analysis, unit root tests, ARDL bound testing technique, FMOLS, and robustness test exercises to ascertain the validity of the results. These findings suggested that there is a direct interaction between renewables deployment and energy resilience and the predisposition to fossil fuels as an impediment to long-term sustainability. The research findings confirmed that the use of renewable power increases resiliency while reliance on fossil fuels decreases sustainability. As a result, this study demonstrates the importance of an integrated approach to energy policy, where renewable energy is combined with a transition to fossil fuels over the longer term to underpin resilience objectives. The study findings are explicitly valuable for policymakers to help China change to sustainable energy management efforts. Therefore, policymakers need to incorporate research findings prudently in policy planning and execution.
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来源期刊
Energy Strategy Reviews
Energy Strategy Reviews Energy-Energy (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
12.80
自引率
4.90%
发文量
167
审稿时长
40 weeks
期刊介绍: Energy Strategy Reviews is a gold open access journal that provides authoritative content on strategic decision-making and vision-sharing related to society''s energy needs. Energy Strategy Reviews publishes: • Analyses • Methodologies • Case Studies • Reviews And by invitation: • Report Reviews • Viewpoints
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