[判别分析中决策规则质量的评价]。

H Skalská, P Petýrek
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引用次数: 0

摘要

应用Logistic回归(LR)和β置信度分配规则的概念来预测放射生物学实验中狗的生存。采用体外γ -中子辐照(4.8-7.2 Gy)后第2、5和8天的生化和血液学指标作为预测64天以上生存期的解释变量。对实验条件的影响进行了监测。在第2天、第5天和第8天,LR模型正确预测病例的比例分别为81%、85%和93%。使用beta分配规则,在个别日子中以0.50置信度正确分配的案例分别为75%,81%和85%,这增加了估计分类规则稳定性的有价值信息。贝塔分配方法还允许在给定的显著性水平上检验个别观察是否被正确分配。
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[Evaluation of the quality of a decision-making rule in discriminant analysis].

Logistic regression (LR) and concept of the beta-confidence allocation rule were applied to predict the survival of dogs within the radiobiological experiment. The biochemical and haematological investigations in 86 dogs on the 2nd, 5th and 8th day post-external gamma-neutron irradiation (4.8-7.2 Gy) were used as explanatory variables for the prediction of more than 64 days survival. The influence of experimental conditions was monitored. Correctly predicted cases with LR models were proportioned as 81%, 85% and 93% on 2nd, 5th and 8th day respectively. Using beta-allocation rule, those correctly allocated with 0.50 confidence on the individual days were 75%, 81% and 85% of cases, that adds valuable information on the stability of the estimated classification rule. Method of beta-allocation also allows testing of whether individual observations are correctly assigned at a given significance level.

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