[恒牙列长期加速问题的新研究]。

W Bernhard, C Glöckler
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究人员对来自美因茨、威斯巴登及附近地区的1310名5至13岁的女孩样本进行了研究,以确定恒牙的出牙时间。不同牙齿的中位出牙日期的数据采用非参数检验来估计双重审查数据的生存函数(TURNBULL 1974)。所提出的方法比用于验证喷发中值日期的其他技术具有明显的优越性。对几个样本的历时比较——主要来自莱茵-美因地区——从1909年到今天,没有一致的趋势表明喷发日期更早。在某些情况下,确定了时间差异,这可以很容易地归因于牙齿状态的不同定义。此外,使用这种创新的数学方法重新计算了最初由FRANZ(1938)研究的法兰克福地区的样本,并没有显示出任何明确的加速趋势——至少在过去的50年里没有。这些结果表明,人类牙齿主要是由遗传决定的,因此环境因素在一般身体发育中的作用要小得多。
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[New investigations on the question of secular acceleration of permanent dentition].

A sample of 1,310 girls, 5 to 13 years of age, drawn from Mainz, Wiesbaden and vicinity was studied to establish the eruption time of the permanent dentition. The data of the median date of eruption of different teeth was determined employing a nonparametric test for the estimation of a survivorship function with doubly censored data (TURNBULL 1974). The method presented shows a marked superiority over other techniques used to verify the median date of eruption. The diachronic comparison of several samples--mainly from the Rhine-Main-Area-encompassing the years 1909 till today, showed no uniform trend towards an earlier eruption date. In some cases, temporal differences were ascertained which can be readily attributed to varied definitions of dental status. Furthermore, a recalculation--using this innovative mathematical approach--of a sample from the Frankfurt area, originally studied by FRANZ (1938) did not show any unambiguous acceleration tendencies-at least not within the past 50 years. These results suggest that the human dentition is predominantly genetically determined and therefore environmental factors play a by far lesser role than in general physical development.

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