在数据缺失的情况下估算海洋哺乳动物搁浅的Gompertz生长曲线

Pub Date : 2010-01-01
Mary Shotwell, Wayne McFee, Elizabeth H Slate
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引用次数: 0

摘要

南卡罗来纳海岸搁浅的宽吻海豚(Tursiops truncatus)为种群健康评估提供了重要数据。从1993年到2007年,在南太平洋搁浅的598只宽吻海豚中,有91只的身体状况足以获得器官重量。在这91只动物中,只有52只被带回实验室进行总体重测量。由于将较小的动物运送到实验室进行尸检更为可行,因此存在选择偏差,因为大型动物的数据经常丢失。使用回归和倾向得分多重插值方法来解释计算增长所需的缺失数据。将拟合的SC动物的Gompertz生长曲线与在墨西哥湾西北部发现的数据进行了比较,并对缺失数据进行了调整。与墨西哥湾的动物相比,南卡罗来纳的动物表现出较低的渐近平均总体重和较快的生长率的趋势。采用代入方法后,差异的幅度普遍增大。南卡罗来纳的雌性最初估计比墨西哥湾的雌性达到更大的最大尺寸,但在推算后,这种关系颠倒了。研究结果表明,在对搁浅海豚进行抽样时,应该考虑到选择偏差。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Estimating Gompertz Growth Curves from Marine Mammal Strandings in the Presence of Missing Data.

Stranded bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) off the coast of South Carolina (SC) provide data essential for population health assessment. Of the 598 bottlenose dolphin strandings in SC from 1993 to 2007, 91 were of sufficient body condition to obtain organ weights. Of these 91 animals, only 52 were brought back to the laboratory for total body weight measurements. Because it is more feasible to transport smaller animals to the laboratory setting for necropsy procedures, a selection bias is present in that data for larger animals are often missing. Regression and propensity score multiple imputation methods are utilized to account for missing data needed to compute growth. Fitted Gompertz growth curves for SC animals with and without adjustment for missing data are compared to those found from the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. South Carolina animals display a trend in lower asymptotic mean total body weights and faster growth rates compared to the Gulf of Mexico population. The differences generally increased in magnitude after imputation methods. South Carolina females were originally estimated to reach larger maximum sizes than Gulf of Mexico females, but after imputation this relationship reversed. The findings suggest selection bias should be accounted for in sampling stranded dolphins.

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