同质泊松过程的旅居。

IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q1 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY American Statistician Pub Date : 2016-01-01 Epub Date: 2014-06-01 DOI:10.1080/00031305.2016.1200484
Piaomu Liu, Edsel A Peña
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这篇教学文章中,介绍了在可能的随机窗口中观察同质泊松过程(HPP)时的分布特性,其中一些特性令人惊讶。文章获得了覆盖终止时间的间隙时间的特性以及观测事件间隙时间的相关性。此外,还介绍了基于观测窗口中事件发生数据的推理过程,如估计和模型验证。由于 HPP 可以说是最简单的循环事件模型之一,我们希望通过本文的研究成果,更好地理解循环事件数据建模和分析中的微妙之处。此外,在本科生和研究生阶段讲授分布理论、数理统计和随机过程时,总概率定理、贝叶斯定理、期望迭代规则、方差和协方差以及更新方程的使用都可以起到说明作用。本文面向教师和学生。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Sojourning with the Homogeneous Poisson Process.

In this pedagogical article, distributional properties, some surprising, pertaining to the homogeneous Poisson process (HPP), when observed over a possibly random window, are presented. Properties of the gap-time that covered the termination time and the correlations among gap-times of the observed events are obtained. Inference procedures, such as estimation and model validation, based on event occurrence data over the observation window, are also presented. We envision that through the results in this paper, a better appreciation of the subtleties involved in the modeling and analysis of recurrent events data will ensue, since the HPP is arguably one of the simplest among recurrent event models. In addition, the use of the theorem of total probability, Bayes theorem, the iterated rules of expectation, variance and covariance, and the renewal equation could be illustrative when teaching distribution theory, mathematical statistics, and stochastic processes at both the undergraduate and graduate levels. This article is targeted towards both instructors and students.

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来源期刊
American Statistician
American Statistician 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
5.60%
发文量
64
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Are you looking for general-interest articles about current national and international statistical problems and programs; interesting and fun articles of a general nature about statistics and its applications; or the teaching of statistics? Then you are looking for The American Statistician (TAS), published quarterly by the American Statistical Association. TAS contains timely articles organized into the following sections: Statistical Practice, General, Teacher''s Corner, History Corner, Interdisciplinary, Statistical Computing and Graphics, Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials, and Letters to the Editor.
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