通过生产环境适宜性模型对日本海藻生产的环境影响进行贝叶斯推断。

IF 4.1 3区 生物学 Q1 PLANT SCIENCES Botanical Studies Pub Date : 2019-02-01 DOI:10.1186/s40529-018-0250-x
Hungyen Chen
{"title":"通过生产环境适宜性模型对日本海藻生产的环境影响进行贝叶斯推断。","authors":"Hungyen Chen","doi":"10.1186/s40529-018-0250-x","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Both natural and human-induced disturbances are commonly responsible for an overall decrease of the world's seaweed. Along Japan's coastal areas, edible seaweed production has been decreasing for decades. In this study, a production-environmental suitability model to estimate the impacts of environmental factors on seaweed production was developed. The developed model not only estimates human-induced disturbances but also quantifies the impacts of environmental factors responsible for the decline of annual seaweed production. The model estimated the temporal variation in human-induced disturbances and the effects of environmental factors (i.e., rainfall, CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations, temperature, typhoons, solar radiation, water nutrient levels, and water quality) on edible seaweeds in Japan from 1985 to 2012.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The environmental suitability for seaweed production in Japan was about 4.6 times greater in 1992 than in 2011, meanwhile as a result of human activities, human-induced disturbances of seaweed increased at a rate of 4.9 times faster during the period of 1998-2012 than the period of 1985-1997. The ratio of decreased production to decreased environmental suitability for seaweed production in Japan increased by 15.2% during the study years, which means that seaweed production has become more sensitive to environmental disturbances, including climatic factors and human activities in 1998-2012.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The results are novel in demonstrating temporal variations in the level of environmental suitability to seaweed production by using a simple mathematical model. The production-environmental suitability model successfully predicted seaweed production by reflecting the 28-year temporal variation of the observed seaweed production in Japan.</p>","PeriodicalId":48844,"journal":{"name":"Botanical Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.1000,"publicationDate":"2019-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1186/s40529-018-0250-x","citationCount":"6","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Bayesian inference of environmental effects on seaweed production in Japan via a production-environmental suitability model.\",\"authors\":\"Hungyen Chen\",\"doi\":\"10.1186/s40529-018-0250-x\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Both natural and human-induced disturbances are commonly responsible for an overall decrease of the world's seaweed. Along Japan's coastal areas, edible seaweed production has been decreasing for decades. In this study, a production-environmental suitability model to estimate the impacts of environmental factors on seaweed production was developed. The developed model not only estimates human-induced disturbances but also quantifies the impacts of environmental factors responsible for the decline of annual seaweed production. The model estimated the temporal variation in human-induced disturbances and the effects of environmental factors (i.e., rainfall, CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations, temperature, typhoons, solar radiation, water nutrient levels, and water quality) on edible seaweeds in Japan from 1985 to 2012.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The environmental suitability for seaweed production in Japan was about 4.6 times greater in 1992 than in 2011, meanwhile as a result of human activities, human-induced disturbances of seaweed increased at a rate of 4.9 times faster during the period of 1998-2012 than the period of 1985-1997. The ratio of decreased production to decreased environmental suitability for seaweed production in Japan increased by 15.2% during the study years, which means that seaweed production has become more sensitive to environmental disturbances, including climatic factors and human activities in 1998-2012.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The results are novel in demonstrating temporal variations in the level of environmental suitability to seaweed production by using a simple mathematical model. The production-environmental suitability model successfully predicted seaweed production by reflecting the 28-year temporal variation of the observed seaweed production in Japan.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48844,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Botanical Studies\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-02-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1186/s40529-018-0250-x\",\"citationCount\":\"6\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Botanical Studies\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"99\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40529-018-0250-x\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"生物学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"PLANT SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Botanical Studies","FirstCategoryId":"99","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40529-018-0250-x","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PLANT SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6

摘要

背景:自然和人类引起的干扰通常是世界海藻总量减少的原因。几十年来,日本沿海地区的食用海藻产量一直在下降。在本研究中,建立了一个生产环境适宜性模型来估计环境因素对海藻生产的影响。所开发的模型不仅估计了人为干扰,还量化了导致年度海藻产量下降的环境因素的影响。该模型估计了1985年至2012年人类干扰的时间变化以及环境因素(即降雨量、二氧化碳浓度、温度、台风、太阳辐射、水营养水平和水质)对日本可食用海藻的影响。结果:1992年日本海藻生产的环境适宜性约为2011年的4.6倍,同时,由于人类活动的影响,人类对海藻的干扰在1998-2012年期间的增长速度是1985-1997年的4.9倍。在研究期间,日本海藻生产的产量下降与环境适应性下降的比例增加了15.2%,这意味着海藻生产对环境干扰变得更加敏感,包括1998-2012年的气候因素和人类活动。结论:通过使用一个简单的数学模型,这些结果在证明环境对海藻生产的适宜性水平的时间变化方面是新颖的。生产环境适宜性模型通过反映日本观测到的海藻产量28年的时间变化,成功地预测了海藻产量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

摘要图片

摘要图片

摘要图片

查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Bayesian inference of environmental effects on seaweed production in Japan via a production-environmental suitability model.

Background: Both natural and human-induced disturbances are commonly responsible for an overall decrease of the world's seaweed. Along Japan's coastal areas, edible seaweed production has been decreasing for decades. In this study, a production-environmental suitability model to estimate the impacts of environmental factors on seaweed production was developed. The developed model not only estimates human-induced disturbances but also quantifies the impacts of environmental factors responsible for the decline of annual seaweed production. The model estimated the temporal variation in human-induced disturbances and the effects of environmental factors (i.e., rainfall, CO2 concentrations, temperature, typhoons, solar radiation, water nutrient levels, and water quality) on edible seaweeds in Japan from 1985 to 2012.

Results: The environmental suitability for seaweed production in Japan was about 4.6 times greater in 1992 than in 2011, meanwhile as a result of human activities, human-induced disturbances of seaweed increased at a rate of 4.9 times faster during the period of 1998-2012 than the period of 1985-1997. The ratio of decreased production to decreased environmental suitability for seaweed production in Japan increased by 15.2% during the study years, which means that seaweed production has become more sensitive to environmental disturbances, including climatic factors and human activities in 1998-2012.

Conclusions: The results are novel in demonstrating temporal variations in the level of environmental suitability to seaweed production by using a simple mathematical model. The production-environmental suitability model successfully predicted seaweed production by reflecting the 28-year temporal variation of the observed seaweed production in Japan.

求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Botanical Studies
Botanical Studies PLANT SCIENCES-
CiteScore
4.80
自引率
2.90%
发文量
32
审稿时长
13 weeks
期刊介绍: Botanical Studies is an open access journal that encompasses all aspects of botany, including but not limited to taxonomy, morphology, development, genetics, evolution, reproduction, systematics, and biodiversity of all plant groups, algae, and fungi. The journal is affiliated with the Institute of Plant and Microbial Biology, Academia Sinica, Taiwan.
期刊最新文献
The complete chloroplast genome and phylogentic results support the species position of Swertia banzragczii and Swertia marginata (Gentianaceae) in Mongolia Cypripedium subtropicum embryo development and cytokinin requirements for asymbiotic germination. Physiology and metabonomics reveal differences in drought resistance among soybean varieties. Asymmetric sharing of pollinator fig wasps between two sympatric dioecious fig trees: a reflection of supply and demand or differences in the size of their figs? Develop an efficient inoculation technique for Fusarium solani isolate "TJP-2178-10" pathogeny assessment in Phalaenopsis orchids.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1