{"title":"垃圾桶模型:一个(非)可重复研究的研究。","authors":"Stewart A Levin","doi":"","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The classic paper 'A Garbage Can Model of Organizational Choice' by Cohen, March and Olsen (1972) both heralded a significant expansion of the study of organizational decision making to non-industrial settings, in particular universities, and served as a very early example of reproducible computational research, incorporating a Fortran 66 program in its appendix to permit others to reproduce their results and run further examples. In this work my extensive attempts to perfectly reproduce the original results show the inherent challenge of reproducing computational research in the presence of ever-changing computing platforms and technology. Indeed, exact values could not be reproduced in this study, nor any other published study, because of hypersensitivity. Despite this, additional statistics allowed by modern computer capabilities almost completely agree with the qualitative observations and conclusions in the original work. Finally, in light of the need for high precision, it will be worthwhile to retest and reevaluate later studies of the internal dynamics of the model that faulted the code for behavior at odds with the theory.</p>","PeriodicalId":46218,"journal":{"name":"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences","volume":"25 4","pages":"455-465"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6000,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Garbage Can Model: A Study in (Non)Reproducible Research.\",\"authors\":\"Stewart A Levin\",\"doi\":\"\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>The classic paper 'A Garbage Can Model of Organizational Choice' by Cohen, March and Olsen (1972) both heralded a significant expansion of the study of organizational decision making to non-industrial settings, in particular universities, and served as a very early example of reproducible computational research, incorporating a Fortran 66 program in its appendix to permit others to reproduce their results and run further examples. In this work my extensive attempts to perfectly reproduce the original results show the inherent challenge of reproducing computational research in the presence of ever-changing computing platforms and technology. Indeed, exact values could not be reproduced in this study, nor any other published study, because of hypersensitivity. Despite this, additional statistics allowed by modern computer capabilities almost completely agree with the qualitative observations and conclusions in the original work. Finally, in light of the need for high precision, it will be worthwhile to retest and reevaluate later studies of the internal dynamics of the model that faulted the code for behavior at odds with the theory.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":46218,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences\",\"volume\":\"25 4\",\"pages\":\"455-465\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"102\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"心理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences","FirstCategoryId":"102","ListUrlMain":"","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
科恩、马奇和奥尔森(1972)的经典论文《组织选择的垃圾桶模型》(A Garbage Can Model of Organizational Choice)都预示着组织决策研究在非工业环境(特别是大学)中的重大扩展,并作为可重复计算研究的一个非常早期的例子,在其附录中纳入了Fortran 66程序,允许其他人复制他们的结果并运行进一步的例子。在这项工作中,我广泛地尝试完美地再现原始结果,这表明在不断变化的计算平台和技术的存在下再现计算研究的内在挑战。事实上,由于过度敏感,准确的数值不能在这项研究中重现,也不能在任何其他已发表的研究中重现。尽管如此,现代计算机能力允许的额外统计数据几乎完全符合原始工作中的定性观察和结论。最后,鉴于对高精度的需要,重新测试和重新评估后来对模型内部动力学的研究是值得的,这些研究错误地认为行为代码与理论不一致。
The Garbage Can Model: A Study in (Non)Reproducible Research.
The classic paper 'A Garbage Can Model of Organizational Choice' by Cohen, March and Olsen (1972) both heralded a significant expansion of the study of organizational decision making to non-industrial settings, in particular universities, and served as a very early example of reproducible computational research, incorporating a Fortran 66 program in its appendix to permit others to reproduce their results and run further examples. In this work my extensive attempts to perfectly reproduce the original results show the inherent challenge of reproducing computational research in the presence of ever-changing computing platforms and technology. Indeed, exact values could not be reproduced in this study, nor any other published study, because of hypersensitivity. Despite this, additional statistics allowed by modern computer capabilities almost completely agree with the qualitative observations and conclusions in the original work. Finally, in light of the need for high precision, it will be worthwhile to retest and reevaluate later studies of the internal dynamics of the model that faulted the code for behavior at odds with the theory.