世界政治大趋势

IF 0.6 Q2 Social Sciences Economic Annals-XXI Pub Date : 2021-09-21 DOI:10.21003/ea.v192-01
O. Koppel, O. Parkhomchuk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这项研究中,我们通过概述国际政治领域全球发展大趋势的具体情况,确定并分析了专家学术界如何看待世界政治大趋势的概念和应用方面。本文总结了到2030年将影响世界的世界政治大趋势。世界现代政治组织有三个方面的转变:由全球化决定的威斯特伐利亚世界政治模式的转变,主要由于一体化成为一种大趋势而导致的现代国际体系的转变,以及政治制度的转变。全球治理将以新的形式进行,这将体现在加强世界集体领导机构上。预计将改变国际主要行为者的等级制度,重新思考全球主要行为者(美国和欧盟)的权力,并出现新的潜在政治和经济全球领导人。世界发展的中心正在移动,经济中心正在向东部和南部转移。世界政治的核心大趋势之一是人类安全的下降,这在新冠肺炎SARS大流行期间变得更加明显,这将导致现代国际秩序的转变。对于这些世界政治的大趋势,我们还与社会政治关系的虚拟化、个别国家政治权力和治理变革的新模式、世界政治的重新道义化、基本价值观的倒置、移民流动的普遍化相联系。
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Megatrends of the world politics
In the study, we identify and analyse how conceptual and applied aspects of megatrends of world politics are treated in the expert-academic community by outlining the specifics of megatrends of global development in the international political sphere. The paper summarises the megatrends of world politics that will shape the world by 2030. There is a threefold transformation of the modern political organisation of the world: the transformation of the Westphalian world political model, which is determined by globalisation, the transformation of the modern international system, largely due to integration as a megatrend, and the transformation of political systems. Global governance will be carried out in new formats, which will be reflected in the intensification of the institutions of collective world leadership. A change in the hierarchy of leading international actors, a rethinking of the power of leading global actors (US and EU), and the emergence of new potential political and economic global leaders are projected. The centre of world development is moving, the economic centre is shifting to the east and south. One of the central megatrends of world politics is the decline in human security, which became even clearer during the SARS pandemic, COVID-19, which will lead to the transformation of the modern international order. To these megatrends of world politics, we also adjoin the virtualisation of socio-political relations, a new model of change of political power and governance in individual countries, reideologization of world politics, inversion of fundamental values, universalization of migration flows.
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来源期刊
Economic Annals-XXI
Economic Annals-XXI ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: The Economic Annals-XXI Journal – recognized in Ukraine and abroad scientific-analytic edition. Scientific articles of leading Ukrainian and other foreign scientists, postgraduate students and doctorates, deputies of Ukraine, heads of state and local authorities, materials of scientific conferences and seminars; reviews on scientific monographs, etc. are regularly published in this Journal.
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