二十一世纪的世界:两极的困境

IF 0.1 Q4 AREA STUDIES Contemporary Europe-Sovremennaya Evropa Pub Date : 2021-10-31 DOI:10.15211/soveurope520210518
M. Nosov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新冠肺炎大流行始于西班牙流感疫情一个世纪后,该疫情导致约4000万人死亡。它的结束和开始一样出乎意料,随后是1919年的巴黎会议,该会议启动了凡尔赛体系,计划作为一个新的永恒和平体系,但在20年后崩溃了。二十世纪末雅尔塔体系也是如此。今天,世界格局正在发生变化。苏联从世界政治版图上消失了,新的世界中心出现了,对全球政治有着不同的看法。美国、俄罗斯、中国和欧盟27国的利益并不一致,而且经常相互矛盾。今天,在一定程度的概率下,可以说形成了“新两极”,美国在哪里?北约和欧盟与中国和俄罗斯展开了经济、政治和潜在的军事对抗。这一体系的未来将在很大程度上取决于西方和中国之间经济竞争的结果以及中俄关系的发展水平。让我们希望,当前的疫情总有一天也会结束,人类将能够建立一个两极或多极的州际关系体系,可靠地保护世界免受流行病和战争的影响。本文探讨了多极世界的形成前景和俄罗斯未来的作用
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The World in the XXI Century: the Dilemmas of Polarity
COVID-19 pandemic started one century after Spanish flu epidemic that killed about 40 million people. It ended as unexpectedly as it began, and was followed by the Paris Conference of 1919, which gave start to the Versailles system, planned as a new system of eternal peace, but collapsed 20 years later. The same happened with the Yalta system at the end of XX centure. Today, the configuration of the world is in the process of changes. The USSR disappeared from the political map of the world, and new world centers appeared with different views on global politics. The interests of the United States, Russia, China, and EU-27 do not coincide, and often contradict each other. Today, with a certain degree of probability, one can speak of the formation of a "new bipolarity", where the United States? NATO and the EU enter into an economic, political and potentially a military confrontation with China and Russia. The future of this system will largely depend on both the outcome of economic competition between the West and China and the level of development of relations between China and Russia. The current pandemic, let's hope, will also end someday, and humanity will be able to create a system of bipolar or multipolar interstate relations that will reliably protect the world from epidemics and wars. This article examines the prospects for the formation of a multipolar world and the future role of Russia
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
40.00%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: “Contemporary Europe” – is academic journal founded in 2000 by Institute of Europe, Russian Academy of Sciences. 4 The journal published quarterly since 2000 under auspices of the Russian Academy of Sciences. Editorial board and editorial staff consider themselves as a mirror of contemporary Russian political, economical and social sciences in general, we eager to reflect in the journal’s pages current level of Russian-European relations, European Studies in Russia and European Union. “Contemporary Europe” focused on the problems of relations and cooperation between Russia and European Union, economical, political, cultural, religious situation in Russia and European countries. “Contemporary Europe” have managed to occupy a leading place in the community of experts on European Studies. Among our authors and members of Editorial Board – scholars, famous political scientists, experts in Foreign affairs. Our journal distributing throughout government institutions, embassies, research centers, libraries in Russia and abroad. The journal has nowadays more than 1000 thousand regular subscribers. The data on our readership convincingly show that the journal is actively and frequently used as a kind of text book by university students. Thus, visitors to public libraries might often come across outworn copies of the journal – evidence of its frequent (and regrettably rather rough) use by the readers. Book reviews occupy a significant part “Contemporary Europe” to presenting to our readers most of the publications of interest appearing in Russia and European Union.
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