捷克高铁规划对通勤行为的影响

IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS Review of Economic Perspectives Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI:10.2478/revecp-2022-0016
V. Pařil, M. Viturka, Václav Rederer
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要本文以高速铁路规划为研究对象,以规划中的捷克高速铁路为例,评估其潜在的通勤行为变化。我们以2011年的人口普查数据为基础,采用标准的地理方法,对相关的10个区域中心和两个重要的铁路枢纽进行了研究,这些枢纽将按照规划的网络连接到高铁。其余三个没有计划连接高铁的区域中心被忽略。我们评估了相关中心对通勤交通变化的吸引力。结果证明了布拉格作为主要通勤中心的战略地位,其相关指标大大超过了所有其他劳动力流动中心(第二大最重要的中心布尔诺大约是重要中心的一半)。通过分析梯度劳动区域和评价相关中心之间的通勤关系,证实了这一事实。高铁对劳动力市场的潜在影响评估随后使用劳动力流动性边际率模型进行,其中除了布拉格对另外两个通勤中心布尔诺和皮尔森的积极影响之外,可以指望。就其他分析的中心而言,我们可以指望增加前往上述中心工作的可能性。
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The change of commuting behaviour with planned high-speed railways in Czechia
Abstract This paper is focused on high-speed railway planning and its general aim is to assess potential commuting behaviour change on the example of planned high-speed railway in Czechia. We used standard geographical methods based on census data from 2011 in relevant ten regional centres and two important railway junctions that will be connected to high-speed railway according to planned network. The rest of three regional centres not planned to be connected to high-speed railway are disregarded. We assessed the attractiveness of relevant centre for commuter mobility change. The results document the strategic position of Prague as the main commuting centre, which relevant indicators significantly exceed all other labour mobility centres (the second most crucial centre Brno is about half the important one). This fact was confirmed by analyzing gradient labour areas and evaluating commuting relations among relevant centres. The assessment of potential impacts of HSR on labour markets is then carried out using the model of the marginal rate of labour mobility, where it is possible to count on positive impacts except for Prague on two other commuter centres, Brno and Pilsen. In the case of other analyzed centres, we can count on increasing the potential of a trip for work to the centres mentioned above.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
10
审稿时长
38 weeks
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