牙买加与旅游业有关的私人投资的经济影响

IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Cepal Review Pub Date : 2022-05-31 DOI:10.18356/16840348-2021-135-3
M. Cicowiez, Romina Ordoñez
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究评估了私人投资在牙买加酒店业的经济影响。具体而言,本文开发了一个旅游扩展的社会会计矩阵(SAM)和一个动态可计算的一般均衡(CGE)模型量身定制的牙买加经济。为了分析贫困和不平等方面的影响,CGE模型的结果与微观模拟模型相关联。结果表明,私人旅游投资导致国外旅游需求的扩大,可以在国内生产总值(GDP)、就业、家庭收入和减贫方面对国民经济产生积极影响。然而,利益的分配取决于要素禀赋在家庭中的分配等社会经济因素。在部门一级,更直接面向旅游业的部门的增长率最高,而更多面向出口的部门的情况则不太好,因为旅游支出增加对价格和实际汇率造成了上行压力。
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The economic impacts of tourism-related private investment in Jamaica
This study assesses the economy-wide impacts of private investment in the hotel industry in Jamaica. Specifically, the paper develops a tourism-extended social accounting matrix (SAM) and a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model tailored to the Jamaican economy. To analyse impacts in terms of poverty and inequality, the CGE model results are linked with a microsimulation model. The results demonstrate that private tourism investments leading to an expansion of foreign demand for tourism can have positive impacts on national economies in terms of gross domestic product (GDP), employment, household incomes and poverty reduction. However, the distribution of benefits is dependent on socioeconomic factors such as the distribution of factor endowments among households. At the sectoral level, sectors catering more directly to tourism experience the highest rates of growth, while more export-oriented sectors do not fare as well given the upward pressure on prices and the real exchange rate resulting from higher tourism spending.
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来源期刊
Cepal Review
Cepal Review ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
0.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
23
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