摩洛哥出口函数的决定因素:来自ARDL和动态ARDL模型的证据

Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI:10.1177/09749101231161231
Fatiha El agri, M. Jerry, Ahlam Qafas, Youness Manzah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

保持可接受的贸易逆差水平是摩洛哥等发展中国家贸易政策的主要挑战之一。因此,研究影响出口功能的最主要因素至关重要。在这方面,我们的文章研究了一系列供需决定因素对摩洛哥1998年第1季度至2018年第4季度出口行为的影响。该研究使用了具有结构断裂的ARDL界限测试方法,扩展到使用动态ARDL的未来预测。研究结果表明,金融发展、自然资源和外国投资产出显著影响摩洛哥的出口行为。因此,制定一项多层面的政策,确保财政资源的最佳分配、农业和磷酸盐部门的现代化以及外国投资者的专业知识转让,是未来促进出口的一些结构性建议。
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Determinants of the Export Function in Morocco: Evidence from ARDL and Dynamic ARDL Models
Maintaining an acceptable level of trade deficit is one of the main challenges of the trade policy in developing countries like Morocco. Therefore, studying the most influential factors of the export function is of foremost importance. In this regard, our article studies the impact of a set of supply and demand determinants on export behavior in Morocco for the period Q1-1998–Q4-2018. The study uses an ARDL bound testing approach with structural breaks, extending to a future projection using the dynamic ARDL. The results of this study show that financial development, natural resources, and foreign investment output significantly influence Morocco’s export behavior. Consequently, forging a multidimensional policy that ensures the optimal allocation of financial resources, the modernization of the agricultural and phosphate sectors, and the transfer of know-how from foreign investors are some of the structural recommendations that will allow the promotion of exports in the future.
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来源期刊
Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies
Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
27
期刊介绍: Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies is a peer-reviewed journal. The aim of the journal is to provide an international platform for knowledge sharing, discussion and networking on the various aspects related to emerging market economies through publications of original research. It aims to make available basic reference material for policy-makers, business executives and researchers interested in issues of fundamental importance to the economic prospects and performance of emerging market economies. The topics for discussion are related to the following general categories: D. Microeconomics E. Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics F. International Economics G. Financial Economics H. Public Economics I. Health, Education, and Welfare J. Labor and Demographic Economics L. Industrial Organization O. Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth Q. Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics • Environmental and Ecological Economics R. Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics Additionally, the journal would be most interested to publish topics related to Global Financial Crisis and the Impact on Emerging Market Economies Economic Development and Inclusive Growth Climate Change and Energy Infrastructure Development and Public Private Partnerships Capital Flows to and from Emerging Market Economies Regional Cooperation Trade and Investment and Development of National and Regional Financial Markets The Belt and Road Initiative.
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