考虑碰撞作用的两起车辆事故中驾驶员伤害的严重程度

Wenzhou Jin, Xiaohang Pei, Zuogan Tang, Yinjie Yao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了研究两车碰撞事故中驾驶员伤害严重程度的影响因素及碰撞角色的交互效应,基于2018 - 2020年深圳市两车碰撞事故数据,采用随机森林算法筛选候选自变量,计算特征变量的重要度值,建立考虑碰撞角度的驾驶员伤害严重程度二元logit模型。结果表明,碰撞角色、事故责任、车辆类型、事故形式、驾驶经验、能见度、车辆间碰撞形式、学历、道路等级、安全防护装置使用情况、道路防护设施使用情况和照明条件与两起车辆事故中驾驶员伤害严重程度显著相关。同时,碰撞角色、车辆类型和事故形式之间存在显著的交互效应。研究结果有助于了解双车事故中驾驶员伤害严重程度的影响机制,有助于交通管理部门制定相应的交通安全对策。
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Driver injury severity in two-vehicle accidents considering collision role
: In order to study the influencing factors of driver injury severity and the interaction effects of collision roles in two - vehicle accidents, based on the data of two - vehicle collision accidents in Shenzhen from 2018 to 2020, we calculate the value of importance degree of characteristic variables by using random forest algorithm to screen out the candidate independent variables, and establish a binary logit model of driver injury severity considering collision angle. The results show that collision role, accident responsibility, vehicle type, accident form, driving experience, visibility, collision form between vehicles, educational background, road grade, use of safety protection devices, roadside protection facilities and lighting conditions are significantly associated with the driver injury severity in two vehicle accidents. Meanwhile, there are significant interaction effects among collision role, vehicle type and accident form. The results are helpful for understanding the influence mechanism of driver injury severity in two - vehicle accidents and can help traffic management departments to formulate corresponding traffic safety countermeasures.
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CiteScore
0.90
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发文量
14
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