全球技术鸿沟对世界经济领导地位的影响,以若干发达国家和发展中国家为例

V. Kuzmin, A. Portanskiy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

最近的技术趋势,特别是全球技术断裂,极大地影响了世界经济中的权力分配。然而,由于这些趋势而产生的问题及其对世界经济秩序可能造成的后果仍未得到充分研究。本文在东西方发展模式矛盾的背景下,考虑到创新领域的国家间冲突和大型科技公司的崛起,评估了全球技术断裂对经济领导力的影响。采用复指数构造对世界经济中的领导地位概念进行形式化,并采用面板数据回归模型估计技术断裂对其影响。样本包含30个西方国家和10个亚洲国家2010年至2019年的主要宏观经济和技术指标数据。因此,得出的结论是,国家对信息和通信技术实施的明确计划的存在可以对一个国家的经济领导地位产生积极影响,而科技巨头日益增长的重要性对该指标产生了负面影响。最后,本文有助于学者更好地理解经济领导概念,并提请政策制定者注意技术领域新法规的必要性。
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The Impact of the Global Technological Divide on World Economic Leadership, Using Examples From a Number of Developed and Developing Countries
Recent technological trends and, particularly, the global technology fracture, significantly affect power distribution in the world economy. However, the problems that arise due to these tendencies and their possible consequences for the economic world order remain understudied. This article assesses the impact of the global technology fracture on economic leadership in the context of the contradictions of the West-East development models, taking into consideration both interstate conflicts in the innovative field and the rising power of big-tech companies. Complex index construction is employed to formalize the concept of leadership in the world economy and a panel data regression model is used for estimating effects of the technology fracture on it. The sample contains data on major macroeconomic and technological indicators for 30 western and 10 Asian countries from 2010 to 2019. As a result, it is concluded that the presence of a clear plan for the implementation of information and communication technologies by the state can have a positive impact on the economic leadership of a country, and the growing importance of technology giants has a negative impact on this indicator. Finally, this article contributes to a better understanding of the economic leadership concept among scholars and draws policymakersʼ attention to the necessity of new regulations in the technological sphere.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
33.30%
发文量
24
期刊介绍: The journal mission is to disseminate Russian and international research in global governance, international cooperation on a wide range of social and economic policies; as well as to create a professional framework for discussion of trends and prognoses in these areas. International Organisations Research Journal publishes academic and analytical papers of Russian and international authors on activities of international multilateral institutions: G8, G20, BRICS, OECD, the World Bank, IMF, WTO, UN, and alliances: European Union, Eurasian Economic Union, Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and others. Analytical and research papers on international cooperation in higher education, trends in higher education developments at the national, regional and global levels are welcomed for reviewing and publication. The journal is aimed at researchers, analysts, practitioners in international affairs and world economics and at a wide audience interested in political issues of international affairs and global development. IORJ supports publications of graduate and postgraduate students, young researchers in Russia and abroad. All IORJ publications are peer-reviewed.
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