在开创先例中学习

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS ACS Applied Bio Materials Pub Date : 2020-11-13 DOI:10.1111/1756-2171.12355
Ying Chen, Hülya Eraslan
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引用次数: 6

摘要

随着时间的推移,决策者(DM)必须解决一系列问题。每个阶段,随机出现一个案例,DM必须做出是或否的决定,我们称之为裁决。在她进行一项耗资巨大的调查之前,她不确定正确的裁决。一项裁决建立了一个先例,未来违反先例的代价可能很高。我们比较了非约束性先例和约束性先例两种制度下决策者获取信息的动机、标准的演变和社会福利。在不具约束力的先例下,法官不需要遵循先前的裁决,但在有约束力的先例下,法官必须遵循先前适用的裁决。我们发现,与非约束性先例相比,在早期先例较少的情况下,约束性先例对信息获取的激励更强,但随着时间的推移,建立了更多的先例,约束性先例对信息获取的激励变得更弱。尽管错误的裁决可能会在有约束力的先例下延续下去,但由于早期进行了更深入的调查,社会福利可能会更高。
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Learning while setting precedents
A decision maker (DM) must address a series of problems over time. Each period, a random case arises and the DM must make a yes-or-no decision, which we call a ruling. She is uncertain about the correct ruling until she conducts a costly investigation. A ruling establishes a precedent, which may be costly to violate in the future. We compare the DM's incentive to acquire information, the evolution of standards and the social welfare under two institutions: nonbinding precedent and binding precedent. Under nonbinding precedent, the DM is not required to follow previous rulings, but under binding precedent, she must follow previous rulings where applicable. We find that, compared to nonbinding precedent, the incentive for information acquisition is stronger under binding precedent in earlier periods when few precedents exist, but as more precedents are established over time, the incentive for information acquisition becomes weaker under binding precedent. Even though erroneous rulings may be perpetuated under binding precedent, social welfare can be higher because of the more intensive investigation conducted early on.
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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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