城市人口对CO²排放的影响:1961-2014年面板数据分析

Gilson Geraldino
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们从1961-2014年的长期角度出发,利用世界银行各国的五年平均年度二氧化碳排放量(污染指标)、人口增长和城市人口(人类自然资源压力指标)以及出生时预期寿命(发展指标)等信息,获得了发展对污染影响的经验证据。我们还考虑了地区、收入水平和时间的影响。我们发现只有城市人口对污染有显著的正向影响。20世纪,世界人口和城市集中度大幅增加,这是有道理的。在一个以碳为基础的社会中,这种惊人的人口集中对环境产生了强烈的影响。
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Urban population impact on CO² emission: 1961-2014 panel data analysis
In this paper we get empirical evidence to development impact on pollution in a long run perspective, 1961-2014, using five years average World Bank countries annual information for CO2 emissions (a proxy for pollution), population growth and urban population (proxy for human natural resources pressure) and life expectancy at birth (proxy for development). We also considerer regional, income levels and time effects. We found that only urban population has robust positive effect on pollution. It makes sense once the world population and urban concentration increased a lot in 20th century. This spectacular human concentration in a consider carbon-based society had strong environment impact.
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审稿时长
33 weeks
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