中国赵立坚外交的崛起:时间序列分析

Q2 Arts and Humanities Asian International Studies Review Pub Date : 2022-11-04 DOI:10.1163/2667078x-bja10018
Kerry Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2020年以来,中国的“战狼外交”备受关注。中国外交部发言人赵立坚是最著名的“战狼”之一。本研究基于2016年8月21日至2021年8月8日的每周谷歌趋势数据集,对赵立坚外交的发展进行了定量描述。运用格兰杰因果检验和自回归分布滞后模型,研究发现赵立坚外交是中国“战狼外交”的一部分。最重要的是,新冠肺炎疫情可能是推动赵立坚外交崛起的唯一因素。本研究为国际关系研究提供了一种新的定量方法,有助于学术界对中国外交政策的理解。
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The Rise of China’s Zhao Lijian Diplomacy: A Time Series Analysis
China’s wolf warrior diplomacy has attracted extensive attention since 2020. One of the most prominent “wolf warriors” is Zhao Lijian, China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson. Based on weekly Google Trends datasets between August 21, 2016 and August 8, 2021, this study provides a quantitative description of the development of Zhao Lijian diplomacy. Employing Granger causality tests and autoregressive distributed lag models, this study finds that Zhao Lijian diplomacy is part of China’s wolf warrior diplomacy. Most importantly, COVID-19 may be the only factor that has driven the rise of Zhao Lijian diplomacy. This study contributes to academia by presenting a new quantitative approach to international relations studies and contributes to our understanding of China’s foreign policy.
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来源期刊
Asian International Studies Review
Asian International Studies Review Arts and Humanities-History
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0.50
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