雷诺萨的汽车盗窃:来自常规活动理论和犯罪模式的空间分析

Víctor Daniel Jurado Flores, Ulises Víctor Jesús Genis Cuevas
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摘要

本文分析了墨西哥塔毛利帕斯州雷诺萨市与汽车盗窃相关的社会和经济因素的空间行为。为此,分析了塔毛利帕斯州总检察长办公室(2016年1月至2018年12月)发布的汽车盗窃报告的数据。关于社会和经济变量的信息来自2020年人口和住房普查的基本地质统计区域和国家经济单位统计目录。该方法由负二项回归、简单回归和地理加权回归组成,这两种回归都是泊松类型,以包含非平稳性空间分量。结果表明,餐馆和银行是吸引犯罪的节点,日常活动的变量呈现出异质的空间模式,这取决于它们所在的城市区域。
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El robo de autos en Reynosa: análisis espacial desde la teoría de las actividades rutinarias y del patrón del crimen
This article analyzes the spatial behavior of social and economic factors associated with car theft in Reynosa, Tamaulipas, Mexico. For this, the data of car theft reports issued (from January 2016 to December 2018) before the Attorney General’s Office of the state of Tamaulipas were analyzed. The information on the social and economic variables was obtained from the Census of Population and Housing 2020 at the level of basic geostatistical area and the National Statistical Directory of Economic Units. The methodology consisted of a negative binomial regression, a simple regression, and a geographically weighted regression, both Poisson types to incorporate the non-stationarity spatial component. The results indicate that restaurants and banks are crime-attracting nodes and that the variables of routine activities present heterogeneous spatial patterns depending on the area of the city where they are present.
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审稿时长
20 weeks
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