Daily rolling estimation of carbon emission cost of coal-fired units considering long-cycle interactive operation simulation of carbon-electricity market

The high overlap of participants in the carbon emissions trading and electricity markets couples the operations of the two markets. The carbon emission cost (CEC) of coal-fired units becomes part of the power generation cost through market coupling. The accuracy of CEC calculation affects the clearing capacity of coal-fired units in the electric power market. Study of carbon–electricity market interaction and CEC calculations is still in its initial stages. This study analyzes the impact of carbon emissions trading and compliance on the operation of the electric power market and defines the cost transmission mode between the carbon emissions trading and electric power markets. A long-period interactive operation simulation mechanism for the carbon–electricity market is established, and operation and trading models of the carbon emissions trading market and electric power market are established. A daily rolling estimation method for the CEC of coal- fired units is proposed, along with the CEC per unit electric quantity of the coal-fired units. The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method are verified through an example simulation, and the factors influencing the CEC are analyzed.