考虑恢复重要性的地震灾害管理

A. Edrisi, Moein Askari
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引用次数: 2

摘要

就灾害而言,地震是造成死亡的主要原因之一。如果在地震发生前采取适当的行动,其后果可以减轻。一个国家的各个部门都有责任管理灾害,但由于缺乏对其行动的积极影响的了解,他们不愿采取果断行动。改造建筑物和结构,安置人道主义物资,改造交通线路,制定灾害应对计划,这些都能使城市更具抵抗力。本文的主要目的是提出一个鲁棒模型来研究考虑回收成本对决策的影响。在该模型中,每个区域的重要性随着对该区域在不采取任何行动的情况下所施加的成本的适当关注而变化。结果显示,与以前的模型相比,改进了13%。此外,本文还强调了灾前行动对恢复成本的重要性,以及在为时已晚之前采取行动的重要性。
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Earthquake Disaster Management with Considering the Importance of Recovery
With respect to disasters, earthquake is one of the leading causes of death. Its aftermath can be abated if proper actions take place before the onset of the earthquake. Various sectors in a country are responsible for managing disasters, but the lack of knowledge about the positive effects of their actions makes them reluctant to act decisively. Retrofitting buildings and structures, positioning humanitarian goods, retrofitting transportation links, and devising a disaster response plan all make a city more resistant. The main aim of this paper is to present a robust model to investigate the effect of considering recovery costs on decision making. In this model, the importance of each region changed with due attention to imposed costs to the region without any action. The result shows a 13 percent improvement compare to the previous model. Also, this paper highlights the significance of pre-disaster action on the recovery costs and the importance of taking action before it is too late.
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CiteScore
1.30
自引率
60.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
47 weeks
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