一个统一的单位根测试不管截距

IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Econometric Reviews Pub Date : 2023-06-12 DOI:10.1080/07474938.2023.2217077
Bingduo Yang, Xiaohui Liu, Wei Long, Liang Peng
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要利用增广Dickey-Fuller检验来验证自回归过程中单位根的存在性,往往需要正确指定截距,因为在不同的模型规格下,检验统计量可能是不同的,有时会导致矛盾的结果。在本文中,我们开发了一个统一的推理,它不仅统一了截距的规格,而且还适应了潜在过程的不同程度的持久性和异方差误差。仿真研究表明,所得到的统一单位根试验具有良好的尺寸控制性和较好的功率。在一个实证应用中,我们实施了所提出的检验,以重新检验在股票收益可预测性中11个广泛使用的变量中单位根的存在。
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A unified unit root test regardless of intercept
Abstract Using the augmented Dickey-Fuller test to verify the existence of a unit root in an autoregressive process often requires the correctly specified intercept, since the test statistics can be distinctive under different model specifications and lead to contradictory results at times. In this article, we develop a unified inference that not only unifies the specifications of the intercept but also accommodates different degrees of persistence of the underlying process and heteroscedastic errors. A simulation study shows that the resulting unified unit root test exhibits excellent size control and reasonably good power. In an empirical application, we implement the proposed test to re-examine the presence of unit roots within eleven widely used variables in stock return predictability.
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来源期刊
Econometric Reviews
Econometric Reviews 管理科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
27
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Econometric Reviews is widely regarded as one of the top 5 core journals in econometrics. It probes the limits of econometric knowledge, featuring regular, state-of-the-art single blind refereed articles and book reviews. ER has been consistently the leader and innovator in its acclaimed retrospective and critical surveys and interchanges on current or developing topics. Special issues of the journal are developed by a world-renowned editorial board. These bring together leading experts from econometrics and beyond. Reviews of books and software are also within the scope of the journal. Its content is expressly intended to reach beyond econometrics and advanced empirical economics, to statistics and other social sciences.
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