人口结构对增长核算和劳动力市场分解的影响

P. Maleček
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在一些国家,人口结构对劳动力市场和宏观经济总量的影响可能会很明显。尽管如此,到目前为止,只有少数几种方法可以量化这类效应。因此,本文的目的是填补这一方法学上的空白,并介绍捕捉人口结构变化的方法学方法,在增长核算和劳动力市场分解中有许多应用。首先,将提出一种新的加性分解方法,作为使用固定人口权重的传统模型的替代方案。接下来将介绍乘法分解,它可以应用于基于乘法恒等式的各种增长核算练习。
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EFFECTS OF DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURE IN GROWTH ACCOUNTING AND LABOUR MARKET DECOMPOSITIONS
Impact of demographic structure on labor market and macroeconomic aggregates might be pronounced in some countries. Despite this fact, only a handful of approaches dealing with quantifications such effects have been derived so far. The aim of this paper is therefore to fill this methodological gap and to introduce methodological approaches for capturing changes in demographic structure, with many applications in growth accounting and labor market decompositions. Firstly, a novel additive decomposition will be presented, as an alternative to traditional models using fixed population weights. This will be followed by the presentation of a multiplicative decomposition, which can be applied to all kinds of growth accounting exercises based on multiplicative identities.
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