评估阿塞拜疆纳希切万自治共和国100年来和目前的降水量变化趋势

Qabil M. Huseynov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

会议审议了评估阿塞拜疆纳希切万自治共和国境内一个世纪以来的大气降水量和现状的一些问题。简要介绍了这个地区的一般情况。为了评估纳希切万水文气象站大气降水量的百年趋势,使用了1891-2015年的年大气降水量。给出了年大气降水量的动态曲线图,以及该要素系列的直线和曲线趋势,这些趋势表征了1891-2015年所考虑的动态特征。对纳希切万水文气象站不同气候期(1891-1910年、1911-1940年、1941-1971年、1972-2015年)大气年降水量的可能变化进行了评估。考虑年降水量在大范围内的变率,计算1891-2015年该指标各等级的发生频次。由于所考虑的区域具有复杂的地形,因此计算了逐月大气降水的垂直梯度值。利用关系方程,计算了不同高度的年大气降水量,并与相应值进行了比较。给出了相应变化的计算结果和评价。
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Assessment of the century-long and current trends in the change in the amount of precipitation in the Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic of Azerbaijan
Some issues of assessing the century-long and current state of the amount of atmospheric precipitation in the territory of the Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic of Azerbaijan are considered. Brief general information about this area is given. To assess the century-long tendency in the amount of atmospheric precipitation in the Nakhichevan hydrometeorological station, used the annual amount of atmospheric precipitation for the period 1891–2015. A graph of the dynamics of the annual amount of atmospheric precipitation, as well as the straight-line and curved-line trends in the series of this element, which characterise the features of the considered dynamics for 1891–2015, is presented. An assessment of possible changes in the annual amount of atmospheric precipitation for different climatic periods (1891–1910, 1911–1940, 1941–1971, 1972–2015) in the Nakhichevan hydrometeorological station is also presented. Taking into account the variability of annual precipitation in a large range, the frequency of occurrence of various gradations of this indicator for 1891–2015 was calculated. Due to the fact that the territory of the region under consideration has a complex relief, the values of the vertical gradients of atmospheric precipitation by months were calculated. Using the equations of relationship, the calculations of the annual amount of atmospheric precipitation for different heights are carried out and a comparison with the corresponding values is carried out. The results of calculations and assessment of the corresponding changes are presented.
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审稿时长
12 weeks
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