国内增加值、出口与就业:印尼制造业的投入产出分析

IF 2 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies Pub Date : 2022-10-14 DOI:10.1080/00074918.2022.2134554
P. Athukorala, A. Patunru
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引用次数: 17

摘要

这篇论文的动机是,目前强调将国内出口增加值份额作为发展中国家出口发展战略的政策标准。我们的假设是,对SVAD的政策强调可以追溯到进口替代时代,与在这个经济全球化时代实现经济增长和创造就业的目标不一致。我们通过将标准投入产出法应用于印尼制造业的数据,检验SVEX与出口诱导就业和国内总增加值(TVAD)或出口对GDP的贡献的关系,来检验这一假设。我们的研究结果并不支持政策界普遍持有的观点,即以较高SVAD为特征的行业有可能对创造就业和TVAD做出更大贡献。政策推断是,在这个经济全球化的时代,在制定出口发展政策时,决策者应该关注行业的出口潜力,而不是出口在国内增加值中所占的份额
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Domestic Value Added, Exports, and Employment: An Input–Output Analysis of Indonesian Manufacturing
The paper is motivated by the current emphasis on the share of domestic value added in exports (SVEX) as a policy criterion for export development strategy in developing countries. Our hypothesis is that, the policy emphasis on SVAD, which harks back to the import substitution era, is not consistent with the objectives of achieving economic growth with employment generation in this era of economic globalisation. We test this hypothesis by examining relationship of SVEX with both export-induced employment and the total domestic value added (TVAD) or the contribution of exports to GDP by applying the standard input-output methodology to data from the Indonesian manufacturing. Our findings do not support the widely held view in policy circles that industries characterised by higher SVAD have the potential to make a greater contribution to employment generation and TVAD. The policy inference is that in this era of economic globalisation, in designing export development policy, policy makers should focus on the export potential of industries rather than on the share of domestic value added of exports
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.20
自引率
9.80%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: The Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, a peer-reviewed journal published by the Indonesia Project at The Australian National University"s College of Asia and the Pacific, fills a significant void by providing a well respected outlet for high-quality research on any and all matters pertaining to the Indonesian economy, and touching on closely related fields such as law, the environment, government and politics, demography, education and health. In doing so, it has played an important role in helping the world, and Indonesians themselves, to understand Indonesia.
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