俄乌战争后欧洲的金融市场和物价上涨

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Naukovi gorizonti Pub Date : 2023-04-13 DOI:10.48077/scihor3.2023.135
Artan Nimani, Denis Spahija
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引用次数: 1

摘要

由于俄罗斯侵略和侵犯乌克兰领土完整,欧洲金融市场遭受了直接的负面影响,这一事实预先确定了研究的相关性。所有这些进程都伴随着一些先前形成的不利于社会经济和财政发展的趋势,这些趋势由于敌对行动而变得更加严重。特别是新冠肺炎疫情、环境恶化、通货膨胀加剧、去全球化、个别国家社会发展不足以及燃料和粮食短缺。本研究旨在对欧洲国家和巴尔干半岛个别国家的金融政策进行比较分析,实证金融风险管理特征,形成经济稳定的预测模型。为了达到设定的目标,采用了科学的方法,包括分析法、类比法和建模法。本文分析了专家报告和科学研究结果,分析了俄罗斯-乌克兰战争,特别是巴尔干和科索沃战争对欧洲金融市场和货币政策的影响。本文将俄罗斯入侵乌克兰领土前时期的财政政策方向与俄罗斯联邦直接侵略时期的财政政策方向进行了类比。本文阐述了价格政策特别是价格机制变化的根本原因。财务风险的决定因素,评估后果的工具,以及未来减少和消除财务风险的管理方法的概括。审议了针对国防部门和社会经济需要的欧洲财政支助的方向。本文的实际价值在于,在国际金融政策稳定进程以及粮食和能源安全的背景下,形成了欧洲金融市场战略发展的概念模型
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Financial markets and price increases in Europe after the russian-Ukrainian War
The research relevance is predefined by the fact that the European financial market has suffered a direct negative impact due to the russian aggression and violation of the territorial integrity of Ukraine. All these processes are accompanied by several previously formed and unfavourable trends for socio-economic and financial development, which have become even more severe due to the hostilities. In particular, COVID-19, environmental degradation, rising inflation, deglobalization, insufficient social development of individual countries, as well as fuel and food shortages. The research aims to conclude a comparative analysis of financial policy in European countries and individual countries of the Balkan Peninsula, as well as substantiation of the financial risk management features and the formation of a forecast model of economic stabilization. To achieve the set objectives, scientific methods were used, including analysis method, analogy method, and modelling method. The article analyses expert reports and the results of scientific research on the current state of the financial market and monetary policy in Europe as a result of the russian-Ukrainian war, in particular in the Balkans and Kosovo. The analogy of the directions of financial policy in the period before the russian invasion of the territory of Ukraine with the period of direct aggression of the russian federation is conducted. The fundamental reasons for changes in pricing policy, in particular pricing mechanisms, are characterized. The determining factors of financial risks, tools for assessing the consequences, as well as generalization of management methods for their reduction and elimination in the future are substantiated. The directions of European financial support aimed at the defence sector and socio-economic needs are considered. The practical value of the work is that the conceptual model of strategic development of the European financial market in the context of stabilization processes of international financial policy, as well as food and energy security was formed
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来源期刊
Naukovi gorizonti
Naukovi gorizonti Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
115
审稿时长
4 weeks
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