如何防控社区风险༟基于时空特征识别社区入室盗窃风险热点

IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH 安全科学与韧性(英文) Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jnlssr.2022.12.004
Yi Liu, Zhelin Cheng, Xingchen Li
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引用次数: 1

摘要

社区安全和风险管理对城市治理至关重要。为了更准确地识别社区风险,本研究基于2018 - 2020年的数据,运用热点警察理论分析了C市某社区社区入室盗窃案件的时空特征。结果表明:(1)在时间上,盗窃案件的发生与季节变化和日常作息密切相关,并受社会活动影响。(2)在空间上,社区类型和周边环境影响家庭盗窃热点的产生和分布,城市规划和改造导致热点的消散和转移。因此,要防控风险,除了对现有热点进行针对性干预外,还应进行基础设施和城市环境改造,提高社区治理效率,转变警务工作模式,避免潜在热点。
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How to prevent and control community risks?Identifying community burglary risk hotspots based on time-space characteristics

Community security and risk management is essential for urban governance. To identify community risks more accurately, the space-time characteristics of community burglary cases in a community located in C city are analyzed in this study based on data from 2018 to 2020 using the hot police theory. The results are as follows: (1) In terms of time, the occurrence of theft cases is closely related to seasonal changes and daily work and rest and is affected by social activities. (2) In terms of space, the type of community and surrounding environment affect the generation and distribution of household theft hotspots, while urban planning and reconstruction cause the dissipation and transfer of hotspots. Therefore, to prevent and control risk, infrastructure and urban environment renovation should be carried out, community governance efficiency should be improved, and police work mode should be transformed to avoid potential hotspots, except for targeted interventions on existing hotspots.

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来源期刊
安全科学与韧性(英文)
安全科学与韧性(英文) Management Science and Operations Research, Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality, Safety Research
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
72 days
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