为墨西哥电力系统规划的可持续性评估制定指标

Ulises Hernandez-Hurtado, C. Martin-Del-Campo
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引用次数: 4

摘要

新兴经济体国家在制定向低排放能源体系迈进的战略和保持经济增长方面面临着重大挑战。电力系统在这些战略中起着至关重要的作用,通过正确衡量其可持续性,可以确定哪种替代方案最能提高可持续性。本文提出了两个政府部门提出的墨西哥电力系统规划情景可持续性评价和评估指标,研究范围为2030年。以2019年至2030年的新增和退役发电能力规划为特征,最终获得满足小时需求的最优调度。制定并计算了可持续性指标,以评估能源安全、能源公平和环境可持续性维度。然后将这些指标输入到最小后悔分析的位置向量中作为多准则决策分析。通过分析结果,强调了电网容量的扩大以及水力发电厂的小时可用性提高了墨西哥电力系统的可持续性。根据能源三难困境对两种情况的表现进行比较,表明当前政府的规划略微更具可持续性。
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A development of indicators for the sustainability assessment of the Mexican power system planning
Countries with emerging economies face a significant challenge when developing strategies to move towards a low emission energy system and keep their economies growing. The power System plays a crucial role in these strategies and by the correct measurement of its sustainability is possible to identify which alternative improves sustainability the most. This article proposes indicators for the evaluation and assessment of the sustainability of Mexican Power System planning scenarios put forward by two government administrations with a study horizon to 2030. The scenarios are characterized by the program of additions and retirements of generating capacity along the period of 2019 to 2030, and eventually, optimal dispatch was obtained to accomplish the hourly demand. Sustainability indicators were developed and calculated to evaluate the energy security, energy equity and environmental sustainability dimensions. Subsequently the indicators were fed to the Position Vector of Minimum Regret Analysis as multicriteria decision analysis. By analysing the results, it is highlighted that the expansion of power grid capacity, as well as the hourly availability of hydro plants improve the sustainability of the Mexican Power System. The comparison between both scenarios’ performance, based on the Energy Trilemma, indicates that the current government’s planning is slightly more sustainable.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management
International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
7.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
审稿时长
30 weeks
期刊介绍: The journal is an international interdisciplinary journal in Sustainable Energy Planning and Management combining engineering and social science within Energy System Analysis, Feasibility Studies and Public Regulation. The journal especially welcomes papers within the following three focus areas: Energy System analysis including theories, methodologies, data handling and software tools as well as specific models and analyses at local, regional, country and/or global level. Economics, Socio economics and Feasibility studies including theories and methodologies of institutional economics as well as specific feasibility studies and analyses. Public Regulation and management including theories and methodologies as well as specific analyses and proposals in the light of the implementation and transition into sustainable energy systems.
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