《拉合尔宣言》后印巴军事冲突升级(1999 - 2019):安全困境视角

Dwi Impiani
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文描述了1999年《拉合尔宣言》后印度和巴基斯坦之间的军事冲突升级。几次大战之后,两国之间的军事冲突一直持续到今天。以往关于印巴冲突的研究只讨论了冲突的原因和解决冲突的努力。研究分为三个主要视角,即;安全,国内政治和政治经济,但没有人解释这场军事冲突为何相对持久。本文将使用安全困境作为分析框架,解释导致印度和巴基斯坦之间紧张局势升级的安全困境的变量。安全困境造成了这样一种情况:两国都更愿意采取进攻行动,而不是防御行动。本文的主要论点是,印度和巴基斯坦将对方的军事防御能力发展、核武器发展、联盟趋势等行为视为威胁,使两国始终处于安全困境之中。
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Escalation of Military Conflict Between India and Pakistan in The Post Lahore Declaration (1999 – 2019): Security Dilemma Perspective
This paper describes the military conflict escalation between India and Pakistan in the period after 1999 Lahore Declaration. After several major wars, military conflicts between the two countries continued to this day. Previous studies on the India-Pakistan conflict only discussed the causes of this conflict and efforts to resolve conflicts. The studies are divided into three major perspectives, namely; security, domestic politics, and political economy, but none has explained how this military conflict is relatively lasting. Using security dilemma as an analytical framework, this paper will explain the variables of the security dilemma that have contributed to the escalating tensions between India and Pakistan. The security dilemma creates a circumstance where offensive action preferable by both states rather than defensive efforts. The main argument of this paper s that India and Pakistan see each other's behavior -such as the development of military defense capability, nuclear weaponry development, and alliance trends- as threats so that they are always remains in the security dilemma situation.
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