年轻选民、年长候选人和政策偏好:来自两个实验的证据

IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE International Political Science Review Pub Date : 2022-12-29 DOI:10.1177/01925121221139544
Charles Lees, R. Praino
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引用次数: 1

摘要

最近世界各地的选举都有大量年轻选民出来支持年轻领导人竞选公职,比如新西兰的杰辛达·阿德恩(Jacinda Ardern)在2020年10月的选举。然而,与此同时,年轻选民对英国的杰里米·科尔宾(Jeremy Corbyn)和美国的伯尼·桑德斯(Bernie Sanders)等相对年长的候选人表现出了强烈的支持。前者与描述性表征文献一致,后者则不然。本文采用1000名年轻人参与的实验设计,分析年轻选民对年长候选人的支持。我们发现,如果年轻选民知道年长的候选人支持一般的左翼政策,他们明显更有可能支持这些候选人,但对于年轻候选人来说,情况并非如此。我们还发现,在其他条件相同的情况下,年轻选民并不喜欢年轻候选人而不是年长候选人。
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Young voters, older candidates and policy preferences: Evidence from two experiments
Recent elections around the world have seen young voters come out in large numbers to support young leaders running for office, such as New Zealand’s Jacinda Ardern in October 2020. At the same time, however, young voters have shown strong support for relatively older candidates such as Jeremy Corbyn in the United Kingdom and Bernie Sanders in the United States. While the former is consistent with the descriptive representation literature, the latter is not. This article deploys an experimental design involving 1000 young participants to analyse young voter support for older candidates. We find that young voters are significantly more likely to support older candidates if they are aware that these candidates champion general left-wing policies, but the same is not true for young candidates. We also find that ceteris paribus younger voters do not prefer younger candidates to older candidates.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
4.50%
发文量
24
期刊介绍: IPSR is committed to publishing material that makes a significant contribution to international political science. It seeks to meet the needs of political scientists throughout the world who are interested in studying political phenomena in the contemporary context of increasing international interdependence and global change. IPSR reflects the aims and intellectual tradition of its parent body, the International Political Science Association: to foster the creation and dissemination of rigorous political inquiry free of subdisciplinary or other orthodoxy.
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